COVID19

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Digby
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Re: COVID19

Post by Digby »

Mellsblue wrote:
Digby wrote:I knew there was a push not to have the MMR vaccine and I knew there was a push the vaccine shouldn't be a combined MMR approach. I didn't know there was a vaccine that was designed to protect against the MMR vaccine
It was my poor editing, ironically. Should’ve read:
‘refused to withdraw Wakefield’s anti-MMR vaccine paper
It wouldn't have surprised me if they'd come up with such in the supposed name of science, and I pay little to no attention to such people so could easily have missed it. I'm as likely to read papers on bible study, or even the bible as read stuff by Wakefield.
Digby
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Re: RE: Re: COVID19

Post by Digby »

Banquo wrote:
Which Tyler wrote:
Banquo wrote: a- anyone believe the Chinese stats?
b- societal differences huge
c- we are all guessing
Does anyone believe anyone's stats?
No, ours are also bollocks, so why try and draw a comparison.
On t'wireless earlier it was noted French death stats for the virus only include those who died in an appropriate setting, basically hospital, where they can easily count them. So if you're an old person who died in a residential home who died in the home from the virus you're not included, though they are looking to correct that, not least as that's exactly where lots of old people are dying. If they do correct there could well be a spike in French numbers when in reality nothing has changed
Banquo
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Re: COVID19

Post by Banquo »

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Sandydragon
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Re: COVID19

Post by Sandydragon »

I can only imagine the amusement that generated amongst exhausted Australian medics.
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Puja
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Re: COVID19

Post by Puja »

It's the laconic way he's telling the story of how it escalated that's really tickled me. "At that point, I ran out of magnets." :lol:

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Son of Mathonwy
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Re: COVID19

Post by Son of Mathonwy »

Probably just the tip of the iceberg re people inserting objects (or small mammals) in an ill-advised place.
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Mellsblue
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Re: COVID19

Post by Mellsblue »

Maybe Gove was right after all
*runs for cover*
twitchy
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Re: COVID19

Post by twitchy »

Image
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Sandydragon
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Re: COVID19

Post by Sandydragon »

Son of Mathonwy wrote:Probably just the tip of the iceberg re people inserting objects (or small mammals) in an ill-advised place.
I wonder how long people have to be isolated before they start looking at the dog in a funny way?
Donny osmond
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Re: COVID19

Post by Donny osmond »

Updated to include yesterday's figures. Big euro countries following almost identical paths, apart from Spain.

Seemingly the figures from Japan aren't all they seem, but wouldn't be able to out any detain on that.Image

Sent from my CPH1951 using Tapatalk
It was so much easier to blame Them. It was bleakly depressing to think They were Us. I've certainly never thought of myself as one of Them. No one ever thinks of themselves as one of Them. We're always one of Us. It's Them that do the bad things.
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Sandydragon
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Re: COVID19

Post by Sandydragon »

How much do we trust any of those figures? Unless we are all using the same criteria for assessing cause of death (which apparently isn't the case) then there is potential for significant discrepancies.

However, assuming each country doesn't change the criteria midway then its interesting to see how individuals countries begin to level out as a result of their lockdowns (or alternatives). The biggest surprise for me is that the US isn't doubling quicker.
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morepork
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Re: COVID19

Post by morepork »

Sandydragon wrote:How much do we trust any of those figures? Unless we are all using the same criteria for assessing cause of death (which apparently isn't the case) then there is potential for significant discrepancies.

However, assuming each country doesn't change the criteria midway then its interesting to see how individuals countries begin to level out as a result of their lockdowns (or alternatives). The biggest surprise for me is that the US isn't doubling quicker.

Give it a week. We are about to get to the fun part of the exponential. Also really should look more closely at epicentres, rather than the 300 000 000 spread out over a big chunk of continent.
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Sandydragon
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Re: COVID19

Post by Sandydragon »

morepork wrote:
Sandydragon wrote:How much do we trust any of those figures? Unless we are all using the same criteria for assessing cause of death (which apparently isn't the case) then there is potential for significant discrepancies.

However, assuming each country doesn't change the criteria midway then its interesting to see how individuals countries begin to level out as a result of their lockdowns (or alternatives). The biggest surprise for me is that the US isn't doubling quicker.

Give it a week. We are about to get to the fun part of the exponential. Also really should look more closely at epicentres, rather than the 300 000 000 spread out over a big chunk of continent.
Fair point, the US is still a week or 2 behind other areas. And the mid west is very different to New York.
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Galfon
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Re: COVID19

Post by Galfon »

from gov.uk:

'Coronavirus: MOTs due from 30 March 2020
Your car, van or motorcycle’s MOT expiry date will be extended by 6 months if it’s due on or after 30 March 2020 - but you must keep your vehicle safe to drive
.'

but only from 30 Mar..good luck if yours has expired in the last few days and you need a garridge - small locals are mostly closed, & main dealers are just doing emergency vehicles. :|..
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morepork
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Re: COVID19

Post by morepork »

Nice reassuring font.
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Galfon
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Re: COVID19

Post by Galfon »

morepork wrote:Nice reassuring font.
my choice not the gov'ners, but thank you.

Meanwhile, more on topic - the first of many across de globe.Little need for expensive grown-up play areas when peeps are dying left, right, centre and everywhere between.

https://www.theguardian.com/sport/2020/ ... ll-on-game
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Eugene Wrayburn
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Re: COVID19

Post by Eugene Wrayburn »

There's not a massive amount of point in comparing raw numbers across countries it seems to me. What you can usefully look at is progression in other countries to predict progression in your own and the effect of certain restrictions. Obviously there are cultural differences and weird outliers - something decidedly weird is going on in Japan's numbers - which will affect all these things. The rate of doubling of deaths is probably the best indicator we have.

Anyway my favourite resource with apologies if it has already been shared is: https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus# ... m-covid-19
I refuse to have a battle of wits with an unarmed person.

NS. Gone but not forgotten.
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Eugene Wrayburn
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Re: COVID19

Post by Eugene Wrayburn »

Oh and a cheery note. My friends private GP, who knows that she does a bit a sewing, asked her if she could knock up a mask or two and advise the GP how to do some herself. The system is beyond fucked.
I refuse to have a battle of wits with an unarmed person.

NS. Gone but not forgotten.
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Puja
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Re: COVID19

Post by Puja »

Galfon wrote:
morepork wrote:Nice reassuring font.
my choice not the gov'ners, but thank you.

Meanwhile, more on topic - the first of many across de globe.Little need for expensive grown-up play areas when peeps are dying left, right, centre and everywhere between.

https://www.theguardian.com/sport/2020/ ... ll-on-game
That's USAR using Covid-19 as an excuse to do something that was always coming. They were up to their eyeballs in debt due to mismanagement and utter fecklessness - I'm sure coronavirus didn't help, but they were a basketcase long before any pandemic came along.

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morepork
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Re: COVID19

Post by morepork »

Eugene Wrayburn wrote:Oh and a cheery note. My friends private GP, who knows that she does a bit a sewing, asked her if she could knock up a mask or two and advise the GP how to do some herself. The system is beyond fucked.

Totally FUBAR man. Stay clean, stay safe.
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canta_brian
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Re: COVID19

Post by canta_brian »

Eugene Wrayburn wrote:There's not a massive amount of point in comparing raw numbers across countries it seems to me. What you can usefully look at is progression in other countries to predict progression in your own and the effect of certain restrictions. Obviously there are cultural differences and weird outliers - something decidedly weird is going on in Japan's numbers - which will affect all these things. The rate of doubling of deaths is probably the best indicator we have.

Anyway my favourite resource with apologies if it has already been shared is: https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus# ... m-covid-19
Reported deaths though. Hang on I will quote the post and bring it forward.
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canta_brian
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Re: COVID19

Post by canta_brian »

Which Tyler wrote:
"The town of Nembro, near Bergamo, had 158 deaths so far this year Vs 35 on average in the recent past.

Only 31 deaths were attributed to Covid-19"


Of course, some of those will be undiagnosed COVID deaths, and some secondary as equipment and care isn't available for others when capacity is taken up with COVID.
This is the one.

Also
https://www.rfa.org/english/news/china/ ... 82846.html
Donny osmond
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Re: RE: Re: COVID19

Post by Donny osmond »

canta_brian wrote:
Which Tyler wrote:
"The town of Nembro, near Bergamo, had 158 deaths so far this year Vs 35 on average in the recent past.

Only 31 deaths were attributed to Covid-19"


Of course, some of those will be undiagnosed COVID deaths, and some secondary as equipment and care isn't available for others when capacity is taken up with COVID.
This is the one.

Also
https://www.rfa.org/english/news/china/ ... 82846.html
In pictorial formImage

Sent from my CPH1951 using Tapatalk
It was so much easier to blame Them. It was bleakly depressing to think They were Us. I've certainly never thought of myself as one of Them. No one ever thinks of themselves as one of Them. We're always one of Us. It's Them that do the bad things.
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canta_brian
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Re: RE: Re: COVID19

Post by canta_brian »

Donny osmond wrote:
canta_brian wrote:
Which Tyler wrote:
"The town of Nembro, near Bergamo, had 158 deaths so far this year Vs 35 on average in the recent past.

Only 31 deaths were attributed to Covid-19"


Of course, some of those will be undiagnosed COVID deaths, and some secondary as equipment and care isn't available for others when capacity is taken up with COVID.
This is the one.

Also
https://www.rfa.org/english/news/china/ ... 82846.html
In pictorial formImage

Sent from my CPH1951 using Tapatalk
That’s what I was trying to do at 4 am! Fail on my part. But I’m symptomatic for the Covid plague (mild only so don’t start a fundraiser) so I’m not all that good at anything right now.
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Stom
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Re: RE: Re: COVID19

Post by Stom »

canta_brian wrote:
Donny osmond wrote:
canta_brian wrote: This is the one.

Also
https://www.rfa.org/english/news/china/ ... 82846.html
In pictorial formImage

Sent from my CPH1951 using Tapatalk
That’s what I was trying to do at 4 am! Fail on my part. But I’m symptomatic for the Covid plague (mild only so don’t start a fundraiser) so I’m not all that good at anything right now.
That's the thing, I have also been symptomatic, but those symptoms can also be attributed to other things, too.

My wife and I have been offered tests by a client of my wife's, but I'm unsure whether we should take them. On one hand, it would be good to know if we've had it, so are currently immune, but on the other hand, it could potentially be a lot more use to someone else.
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