COVID19

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Son of Mathonwy
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Re: COVID19

Post by Son of Mathonwy »

Sandydragon wrote:
Son of Mathonwy wrote:
Stom wrote:
This is politics. If you incessantly criticize the government on everything, you will be ignored on the big things. When there are motivating factors, like there are with PPE, hold off. Then with the Sage redactions, you can launch both barrels.

Pick and choose
Is that for us, or for the press?

I can see your point but I can't agree. What would the criteria be for not reporting a story where there has been a government failing? In the case of PPE, lives are potentially at risk, and with the Sage redactions the government may be covering up an area where they diverged from being "guided by the science". Both seem like serious enough issues that they ought to be reported (assuming the stories have merit).
It would be helpful if the media actually reported accurately and weren’t trying to make everything into a crisis. There have been cockups along the way, but the media reporting of this crisis has been largely infantile.
The media should be as accurate as possible. I haven't read nearly enough to know whether the majority are over/under-critical, or accurate/inaccurate, though.
fivepointer
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Re: COVID19

Post by fivepointer »

Nicola Sturgeon today - "The Sunday papers is the first I’ve seen of the PM’s new slogan. It is of course for him to decide what’s most appropriate for England, but given the critical point we are at in tackling the virus, #StayHomeSaveLives remains my clear message to Scotland at this stage"

Vaughan Gething (Welsh health minister) - "I’ve seen the media briefings and changed message for England. There has not been a 4 nations agreement or discussion on this. The @WelshGovernment message has not changed. Stay at home and if you do go out observe the social distancing rules"

I dunno, but wouldn't it have been an idea for the UK Govt to work with the devolved Govts to achieve some unity in messaging?
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Galfon
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Re: COVID19

Post by Galfon »

fivepointer wrote: I dunno, but wouldn't it have been an idea for the UK Govt to work with the devolved Govts to achieve some unity in messaging?
It appears petty to argue about slogans and there can only be 1 captain on the ship; hopefully it shows BoJo needs to engage more with the regions to keep the same message going, rather than some wasteful political point-scoring.
Digby
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Re: COVID19

Post by Digby »

To have not even had discussion is weird, maybe everyone was getting ready for the Brexit talks getting underway again and there wasn't time to deal with a pandemic
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Which Tyler
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Re: COVID19

Post by Which Tyler »

Stay alert? It's a deadly virus not a pedestrian fucking crossing.



Banquo
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Re: COVID19

Post by Banquo »

Which Tyler wrote:Stay alert? It's a deadly virus not a pedestrian fucking crossing.



it does seem odd, but think its an attempt to use alert levels as we use in terrorism, and relates to what lockdown 'looks like' per level.

Frankly, given the public struggled to grasp stay home and essential travel only, this seems odd to say the least.

Meanwhile, in the Guardian
Police were spat and coughed on as they tried to disperse a birthday party of around 40 people in Bolton, Greater Manchester.

Police were called to an address in Wemsley Grove, Tonge Moor, shortly before 8pm yesterday, where they found a birthday party with around 40 people in attendance, including both adults and children.

“Officers encouraged the group to disperse and were met with hostility as guests refused to co-operate,” a Greater Manchester Police statement said.

“Officers continued to encourage the group to disperse, and as people started to leave, a group of people continued to refuse to co-operate with the officers and began to deliberately cough and spit.”

Seven people – aged between 23 and 48 – were arrested on suspicion of being drunk and disorderly and for breach of Covid-19 regulations and received fixed penalties. A further individual was not arrested but was given a fixed penalty at the scene.

The assistant chief constable Robert Potts said: “When the vast majority of us are all making such sacrifices in order to reduce the transmission of the virus and save lives as a result it is really disappointing to see the rules being flagrantly ignored by those who are putting their own safety and the safety of so many others at risk.

“This remains an incredibly challenging time for everybody but we all need to follow the legislation and government guidance in order to save lives and protect the most vulnerable members of our communities.

“Following this incident yesterday, the Bolton neighbourhood team will be out providing reassurance to residents in the area, so please feel free to speak to them if you have any questions or concerns.”
Donny osmond
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Re: RE: Re: COVID19

Post by Donny osmond »

Galfon wrote:
fivepointer wrote: I dunno, but wouldn't it have been an idea for the UK Govt to work with the devolved Govts to achieve some unity in messaging?
It appears petty to argue about slogans and there can only be 1 captain on the ship; hopefully it shows BoJo needs to engage more with the regions to keep the same message going, rather than some wasteful political point-scoring.
Working together is of course a two way street, and while I can't speak as to the actions of the Welsh assembly, if the Scottish Govt want the UK Govt to work with them, they need to stop using every opportunity to distance themselves from the UK govt.

Sent from my CPH1951 using Tapatalk
It was so much easier to blame Them. It was bleakly depressing to think They were Us. I've certainly never thought of myself as one of Them. No one ever thinks of themselves as one of Them. We're always one of Us. It's Them that do the bad things.
Donny osmond
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Re: RE: Re: COVID19

Post by Donny osmond »

Which Tyler wrote:Stay alert? It's a deadly virus not a pedestrian fucking crossing.



True, but it also pretty feckin obvious what it means.

Sent from my CPH1951 using Tapatalk
It was so much easier to blame Them. It was bleakly depressing to think They were Us. I've certainly never thought of myself as one of Them. No one ever thinks of themselves as one of Them. We're always one of Us. It's Them that do the bad things.
Digby
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Re: COVID19

Post by Digby »

Banquo wrote:
Police were called to an address in Wemsley Grove, Tonge Moor, shortly before 8pm yesterday, where they found a birthday party with around 40 people in attendance, including both adults and children.

“Officers encouraged the group to disperse and were met with hostility as guests refused to co-operate,” a Greater Manchester Police statement said.

“Officers continued to encourage the group to disperse, and as people started to leave, a group of people continued to refuse to co-operate with the officers and began to deliberately cough and spit.”

Seven people – aged between 23 and 48 – were arrested on suspicion of being drunk and disorderly and for breach of Covid-19 regulations and received fixed penalties. A further individual was not arrested but was given a fixed penalty at the scene.
Encourages one to think we should have a police state where people can be dispensed with at the Police's leisure
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Son of Mathonwy
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Re: COVID19

Post by Son of Mathonwy »

This is a serious weakening of the lockdown. It's basically back to work, except that:
1) people should work from home were possible, and
2) a lot of people will be unable to return to work because they have children to look after*.

And this is all before workplaces have been given guidance on how to be "Covid secure".

If people actually follow this new guidance the numbers will rise again.
This is economy first, lives second, but will have the effect of prolonging the period in which strong measures will be needed, hence damaging the economy even more than a strong lockdown.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-52609952


* although will they have any legal protection if they are fired as a result?
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Which Tyler
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Re: COVID19

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Eugene Wrayburn
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Re: COVID19

Post by Eugene Wrayburn »

Changing the message from "stay at home" when the message is still supposedly stay it home is not a petty argument about slogans. In a pandemic the messaging is fundamental because you need people to act on it. If you no longer tell them to stay at home, don't be surprised if they no longer stay at home.

I have to say I'm not entirely surprised, though don't for a moment condone, police being spat at as they tried to break up a birthday party. There's no transmission difference between a birthday party and the numerous VE day parties with no social distancing that went entirely unmolested. If you are seen to be arbitrary in the application of the law then you can't really expect support.
I refuse to have a battle of wits with an unarmed person.

NS. Gone but not forgotten.
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Galfon
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Re: COVID19

Post by Galfon »

Presumably the Creme Egg stockpiling would now be ok if carried out in a park or public space, but not on a bus or a tram..
'Actively encouraged' has a sinister tone - it will be down to which employers are prepared to be reasonable about safety and travel arrangements - not sure if the pass certificate is a show-stopper.
Bigger fines for the Covidiots ? ..hopefully this will be consistent and meaningful.
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Sandydragon
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Re: COVID19

Post by Sandydragon »

And here's Peter Hitchens opinion from the Sunday Hate (this popped into my LinkedIn feed this morning and I couldn't resist a look):
We will not escape from this misery until the Government has been forced to admit that it made a foolish mistake and over-reacted wildly to Covid-19.

The Prime Minister is like a man who sets fire to his own pyjamas, while he is wearing them, to cure himself of hiccups.

Now he stands naked and scorched, as his house burns around him, and exults that his hiccups have indeed gone away. This is what I mean by getting things out of proportion.

People are seen celebrating VE Day from their doorsteps amid the coronavirus pandemic. Huge, devastating actions, such as the national shutdown, require clear, good justifications. These do not so far exist +5
People are seen celebrating VE Day from their doorsteps amid the coronavirus pandemic. Huge, devastating actions, such as the national shutdown, require clear, good justifications. These do not so far exist

Above all, he must stop pretending that his actions saved us from deaths that never happened, and people must stop believing this evidence-free bilge.

Till that moment comes, months and perhaps years of costly, painful stupidity will follow. The belief that the Panic Policy worked means it can never fully end. If, and when, you go back to your job – if you still have a job – you will be compelled to abide by ludicrous, impractical rules. You will be forced to wear pointless muzzles on trains and buses.

Normal life will be virtually impossible. Previously simple actions will be endlessly complicated and expensive. And while this farce continues, businesses will continue to close and jobs continue to vanish, visiting misery and sickness on millions.

I have seen this before in the old Communist world, a mad, fixed idea pursued by dense men relentlessly and without opposition or thought, until the whole thing collapses or explodes. Now I see it here.

A near-deserted beach is pictured above in Eastbourne during the Bank Holiday weekend. We will not escape from this misery until the Government has been forced to admit that it made a foolish mistake and over-reacted wildly to Covid-19 +5
A near-deserted beach is pictured above in Eastbourne during the Bank Holiday weekend. We will not escape from this misery until the Government has been forced to admit that it made a foolish mistake and over-reacted wildly to Covid-19

Huge, devastating actions, such as the national shutdown, require clear, good justifications. These do not so far exist.

I have yet to see any reason to believe that throttling the economy and imposing mass house arrest have saved a single life. Deaths from Covid-19 peaked and began to decline in this country on April 8, a decline far too soon to have been brought about by the Johnson Panic of March 23.

I have seen masses of reasons to believe that the risk from the coronavirus has been gravely exaggerated and that the figures of deaths have been overestimated.

As for the damage done by the wild, almost Maoist measures adopted by the Government, evidence pours in hourly from ruined businesses and people who thought they were secure, discovering the multiple miseries of Universal Credit.

And this is only just beginning. The two specific competent actions which might have helped – protecting care homes from the outset, and properly equipping doctors and nurses – were bungled.

But the vast, sweeping, showy policies of mass house arrest and the unprecedented switching off of an entire advanced 21st Century economy were, and are, pursued with relentless enthusiasm.

The Prime Minister is like a man who sets fire to his own pyjamas, while he is wearing them, to cure himself of hiccups. Now he stands naked and scorched, as his house burns around him, and exults that his hiccups have indeed gone away +5
The Prime Minister is like a man who sets fire to his own pyjamas, while he is wearing them, to cure himself of hiccups. Now he stands naked and scorched, as his house burns around him, and exults that his hiccups have indeed gone away

Even now the teenage minds in charge of this cannot admit their mistake or properly call a halt, as we shall learn tonight. But under the rule of this Cabinet of None of the Talents, the country has suffered a total collapse of independent thought and opposition.

The buffoon who got us into this, and now cannot get us out, continues to be lauded and fawned upon as if he were Kim Jong Un. Those who six months ago could not forget his long history of amateurishness, dishonesty and clowning now cannot remember them, and praise him instead.

I used to think he was, at least, amusing. But I see nothing amusing in the landscape of ruin he has now created. Once people begin to realise what he has done, and how needless it was, I doubt that he will ever be forgiven.

Even when Professor Neil Ferguson, chief advocate of the Panic Laws, was caught ignoring his own rules, nothing changed. The nation giggled and missed the point. I actually care more about what goes on above Prof Ferguson’s neck than what takes place below his belt.

The significance of his action was that even he doesn’t believe his scare stories enough to obey the rules based on them. Well, I don’t believe those scare stories either and never have.

But thanks to him and his raving prophecies, I now live in a country where the police – the police! – seriously consider prosecuting a free man for canoodling with his married mistress.

This is not because of the multiple betrayals of spouses and children involved. Nobody but me cares about those any more, as I am perhaps the last living puritan, and even I don’t think it’s a police matter. It is because he broke the ludicrous ‘social distancing’ rules.

We are living in a mad country, governed by clowns. Who will save us from this, or must it just go on for ever?

Even when Professor Neil Ferguson, chief advocate of the Panic Laws, was caught ignoring his own rules, nothing changed. The nation giggled and missed the point +5
Even when Professor Neil Ferguson, chief advocate of the Panic Laws, was caught ignoring his own rules, nothing changed. The nation giggled and missed the point

Succession of needless obscenities
Seeking some sort of escape from endless discussion of the virus, I have been watching the TV drama Succession, above, about a wobbling media empire, whose ailing and ancient chieftain, still fearsome, is besieged by would-be successors among his children.

I can’t imagine who this is based on, but can it be really true that these people use the f-word quite so much?

I’m reminded of the story of the soldier who used that word incessantly as greeting, punctuation and adverb, until the day when he dropped a heavy machine gun on his foot and couldn’t think what to say.

A toxic cloud of deceit

More news about the Poison Gas watchdog, the OPCW.

Some months ago I exposed major turmoil inside this valuable organisation, over what some of its senior inspectors regarded as censorship of reports from Syria, in an attempt to alter their meaning and significance.

The OPCW responded by saying that one of these whistleblowers had not been a member of the Fact Finding Mission (FFM) which went to Syria in 2018.

Various toadies and creeps repeated this. Now a radical website, The Grayzone, has published documents which appear to show that he was officially listed as a member of the FFM. I put this to the OPCW on Thursday. So far they have not responded.


I am delighted to say that my call for a court case against the House Arrest policy has now been answered.

The businessman Simon Dolan has begun steps to challenge the legality of the Panic Laws. The Government is dragging its feet but next week will be crucial.

I have posted details of the action, and how to support it, on the Peter Hitchens blog.

Citizens are said to have claimed he was frightening people +5
Citizens are said to have claimed he was frightening people

Scary face of hypocrisy...

Police in Norwich have spoken severely to a teenager for going round the suburbs in a 17th Century plague doctor’s mask, like a huge crow’s head, and a long black cloak.

Citizens are said to have claimed he was frightening people.

I am thinking of getting one of these outfits if forced to wear a muzzle by the Government, so I was interested to see that our new state militia think it’s a matter for them.

Is it the law that only the Government are allowed to frighten people?

And is the thing they all fear most of all that we might laugh at them?

If you want to comment on Peter Hitchens, click here
fivepointer
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Re: COVID19

Post by fivepointer »

Hitchens is a fool.

This is an interesting take on the Govts new messaging-

"This response focuses on the government’s overcentralised approach, hoarding of information, and resistance to either scrutiny or ideas from anywhere else. It points out that they are trying to push responsibility for whether we live or die from themselves onto each of us, but without giving us any of the tools or information we need to make the right decisions — all of the responsibility, none of the power"
Mikey Brown
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Re: COVID19

Post by Mikey Brown »

Anyone actually done the maths on this?

Digby
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Re: COVID19

Post by Digby »

What I wonder about where the maths is would be what level of debt is now sustainable. I've long been cautious about relying on borrowing, but it's difficult to put figure on how much is too much and why. Germany and Japan are different to the UK and the USA, and Argentina and Venezuela very different again.

But I doubt debt levels have ceased to be of important, and more than presently everyone's debt levels are fucked so we're getting away with it only because it's fucked across the board. We'll hopefully see a reset of what's considered the norm because that means we're moving into a phase where normality has been returned (and anything we still can't cope with is therefore our own problem) or we're into some 'new normal' to coin an awful phrase, and then once we've reset we will need to show some caution

Interesting though, because both this and the 2008 debt crisis massively increased debt problems in a huge number of countries without many of the problems associated with debt
paddy no 11
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Re: COVID19

Post by paddy no 11 »

This just looks reckless from Johnson, could be looking at shocking daily deaths in 4-6 weeks
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Son of Mathonwy
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Re: COVID19

Post by Son of Mathonwy »

Mikey Brown wrote:Anyone actually done the maths on this?

He's saying R = 0.6, infections = 219183, so alert level = 0.6 + 219183 = 219183.6

ie the equation is bollocks
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Son of Mathonwy
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Re: COVID19

Post by Son of Mathonwy »

Sandydragon wrote:And here's Peter Hitchens opinion from the Sunday Hate (this popped into my LinkedIn feed this morning and I couldn't resist a look)
Johnson would probably have agreed with that 2 months ago*.

Since then, that kind of thinking nearly killed him and has actually killed 30-60 thousand people.


* with the possible exception of the "long history of amateurishness, dishonesty and clowning".
Digby
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Re: COVID19

Post by Digby »

Actually picking up on the comment:

"Those who six months ago could not forget his long history of amateurishness, dishonesty and clowning now cannot remember them, and praise him instead."

I'd actually have to concede rather than forgetting his amateurishness, dishonesty and clowning I can't actually remember praising him, and that's a much more recent thing I can't remember. Or maybe I've forgotten to praise him such is my forgetfulness. Or maybe Hitchens is a shit writer and a shit individual, albeit far superior to Piers Morgan
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Son of Mathonwy
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Re: COVID19

Post by Son of Mathonwy »

paddy no 11 wrote:This just looks reckless from Johnson, could be looking at shocking daily deaths in 4-6 weeks
Hopefully they'll tighten things up again before the deaths rise too much (ie as they see cases increasing again). But this surely will kill more. And set the pandemic response back weeks...with even more consequences (damaging the economy and straining the NHS).

It's so dumb. There is a case for opening up some industries, but they have to be those where the risk of transmission can be kept low, eg the construction industry (mostly outdoors, low worker density, could be performed with masks) but "covid-proofing" guidance needs to be given before reopening them. Not all industries, with no guidance. And a suggestion to avoid public transport - how does that work in London?
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Son of Mathonwy
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Re: COVID19

Post by Son of Mathonwy »

This is a good piece, indicating how likely transmission is in difference circumstances:

https://www.erinbromage.com/post/the-ri ... avoid-them
Mikey Brown
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Re: COVID19

Post by Mikey Brown »

Son of Mathonwy wrote:
Mikey Brown wrote:Anyone actually done the maths on this?

He's saying R = 0.6, infections = 219183, so alert level = 0.6 + 219183 = 219183.6

ie the equation is bollocks
Well it was a rhetorical question, but yes.
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morepork
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Re: COVID19

Post by morepork »

Hitchens is a fucking tool recklessly seizing upon the situation to put out the same tired message in a slightly different context. I am so fucking sick of commentators like him. Here in the US it is 100x worse. People like him should be made to do 10 hour shifts in an ICU in the middle of an active cluster of infection. Or quarantined in an aged care facility indefinitely.
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