Re: America
Posted: Wed Nov 09, 2022 5:50 pm
There were lots of young whelps at the polling stations in Philly yesterday. They were pretty hot on civil/human rights.
Cautiously optimistic so far but everything crossed that the Dems can keep some control.Puja wrote: ↑Wed Nov 09, 2022 1:13 pm I am cautiously optimistic about the American election results so far. Admittedly, "Didn't elect quite enough fascists that have openly boasted they will rig all forthcoming elections, to completely and irrevocably ruin the democratic process, but only enough that it's still a massive problem," is a very low bar for success, but it's the one that they appear to be getting over despite predictions that they wouldn't, so kudos to the Yanks.
Exit polls suggest it's the kids wot did it - much larger than expected turnout of 20-30s quashing the red wave.
Puja
I read the situation slightly differently, myself. To me, DeSantis is a politician, like many others. He'd undoubtedly be a nightmare as President. But he's not the weird force of nature that Trump has become. Trump has personally captured the undying loyalty of an alarming percentage of the American population - he's a cult leader.Sandydragon wrote: ↑Wed Nov 09, 2022 7:11 pmCautiously optimistic so far but everything crossed that the Dems can keep some control.Puja wrote: ↑Wed Nov 09, 2022 1:13 pm I am cautiously optimistic about the American election results so far. Admittedly, "Didn't elect quite enough fascists that have openly boasted they will rig all forthcoming elections, to completely and irrevocably ruin the democratic process, but only enough that it's still a massive problem," is a very low bar for success, but it's the one that they appear to be getting over despite predictions that they wouldn't, so kudos to the Yanks.
Exit polls suggest it's the kids wot did it - much larger than expected turnout of 20-30s quashing the red wave.
Puja
My only concern is what this means for the next presidential election. A red wave would probably have helped trump and sealed the deal for him to be the Republican candidate. But, it’s clear that his influence isn’t helping them. But DeSantis is obviously riding high and must be a favourite now for the nomination. I don’t think Biden can compete against anyone but Trump. Nd from what I’ve read about DeSantis he is from the same political stable as Trump but with better presentation.
There is the hope that Trump and DeSantis will tear the Republicans apart. Faint hope but with a weakened but not dead Trump we could see some measure of this.Puja wrote: ↑Wed Nov 09, 2022 7:21 pmI read the situation slightly differently, myself. To me, DeSantis is a politician, like many others. He'd undoubtedly be a nightmare as President. But he's not the weird force of nature that Trump has become. Trump has personally captured the undying loyalty of an alarming percentage of the American population - he's a cult leader.Sandydragon wrote: ↑Wed Nov 09, 2022 7:11 pmCautiously optimistic so far but everything crossed that the Dems can keep some control.Puja wrote: ↑Wed Nov 09, 2022 1:13 pm I am cautiously optimistic about the American election results so far. Admittedly, "Didn't elect quite enough fascists that have openly boasted they will rig all forthcoming elections, to completely and irrevocably ruin the democratic process, but only enough that it's still a massive problem," is a very low bar for success, but it's the one that they appear to be getting over despite predictions that they wouldn't, so kudos to the Yanks.
Exit polls suggest it's the kids wot did it - much larger than expected turnout of 20-30s quashing the red wave.
Puja
My only concern is what this means for the next presidential election. A red wave would probably have helped trump and sealed the deal for him to be the Republican candidate. But, it’s clear that his influence isn’t helping them. But DeSantis is obviously riding high and must be a favourite now for the nomination. I don’t think Biden can compete against anyone but Trump. Nd from what I’ve read about DeSantis he is from the same political stable as Trump but with better presentation.
I don't think Biden can compete with either of them - he's a lame duck and will lose the 2024 election to just about anyone. Quite apart from his lack of significant accomplishments and his milquetoast attempts to get people working together by avoiding doing anything good, the perception of him as a doddering fool has gone too far. His perceived failures will drive engagement from the right's voters and his pandering to the right and apathy to change will drive disengagement from the left's voters. He'll lose in a landslide barring something miraculous.
I would rather him lose to DeSantis, who is just another politician (admittedly a wicked and mendacious one), than to give any further power to the Trump cult.
Puja
I don't think it does, technically, but look what happened last time. He wasn't even in the race until it looked worryingly like someone else might shake things up.Sandydragon wrote: ↑Thu Nov 10, 2022 9:25 amI assume that just because he is the sitting president, that doesn't mean his nomination is automatic. Does anyone know?
It's not automatic, but it's considered bad form to challenge and also a no-win situation - either you get demolished and become the idiot who invited the boss outside (John Redwood) or you bring him down and become the dick who stabbed the previous winner in the back (Michael Gove).Sandydragon wrote: ↑Thu Nov 10, 2022 9:25 am Biden is already past it and if this mid-term has given him the confidence to go for reelection then that's not a great outcome. There has to be a younger generation of Democrat leaders looking to push through who can be given some media time in preparation for this.
I assume that just because he is the sitting president, that doesn't mean his nomination is automatic. Does anyone know?
Love it. He says it tongue in cheek but he's kidding on the square.
This is her being a total nutcase? What does that make Truss, then? As this seems perfectly normal to me.Mikey Brown wrote: ↑Fri Nov 11, 2022 9:23 pm
Oh no did she found out about those “the venn diagram of X is a circle” memes? Why are there so many videos out there of her being a total nutcase at the moment? Is she relatable for somebody out there or something?
According to Twitter vignettes, yes, but I'm sure you also sympathize.
Notable as well how little time the Yankee voters are having for the election denial bullshit. This is an election that the Dems should be losing by a landslide - Biden is uninspiring as a kind description, the economy's gone to shit (not strictly his fault, but still), and his legislative accomplishments have not been much to drum up the base. Even with the tailwind provided by the Roe v Wade shit, they should be losing both houses by a distance. Yet, it appears they will barely lose one and most of the big name election deniers have either lost or have had a very rough ride (Boebert nearly losing her seat in a Republican district was joyous, even if it looks like it won't quite come through in the end).Sandydragon wrote: ↑Sun Nov 13, 2022 4:05 pm Been reading today about how many senior Republicans are beginning to turn on Trump publicly. Naturally, they were happy with his brand of quasi-fascist populism when it won them elections, but not now he is seen to be a liability.
I wonder how many of them regret not supporting the impeachment case which at least would have lanced the boil straight after the election?
But it's pleasing that it's voters are actively punishing candidates for it. I was expecting that people would see it, but still say, "Well, I want to vote Republican, so I'll just ignore them being a frothing weirdo," so I'm quite chuffed that it's not only not garnering them votes, but actively costing them as well.morepork wrote: ↑Sun Nov 13, 2022 7:58 pm Less than 30% of registered American voters support that election denial bullshit. It's only prominent because of a spinless 4th estate. Election weirdos don't actually have any policy initiatives that aren't about voting restrictions and white grievance. That shit gets old pretty quickly.
I suppose we shall be putting that to the test now that Trump has finally put us out of our misery and admitted that he will actually be running for president again. Will any of the other Republican big names, mostly De Santis, risk running against him and losing, or bide their time (De Santis is mid 40s? so has plenty of time on his side you would imagine)? For everyone's sake, I really hope it's not a repeat of the last election. Sadly I don't think the Dems will leave Biden in a room with a bottle of whisky and a loaded revolver and may well humour him.Puja wrote: ↑Sun Nov 13, 2022 7:22 pmNotable as well how little time the Yankee voters are having for the election denial bullshit. This is an election that the Dems should be losing by a landslide - Biden is uninspiring as a kind description, the economy's gone to shit (not strictly his fault, but still), and his legislative accomplishments have not been much to drum up the base. Even with the tailwind provided by the Roe v Wade shit, they should be losing both houses by a distance. Yet, it appears they will barely lose one and most of the big name election deniers have either lost or have had a very rough ride (Boebert nearly losing her seat in a Republican district was joyous, even if it looks like it won't quite come through in the end).Sandydragon wrote: ↑Sun Nov 13, 2022 4:05 pm Been reading today about how many senior Republicans are beginning to turn on Trump publicly. Naturally, they were happy with his brand of quasi-fascist populism when it won them elections, but not now he is seen to be a liability.
I wonder how many of them regret not supporting the impeachment case which at least would have lanced the boil straight after the election?
It appears that integrity still matters to Yankees and not enough of them have been poisoned by Fox News to believe the fuckery being peddled.
Puja