Page 76 of 161

Re: Brexit delayed

Posted: Tue Feb 19, 2019 11:21 am
by Stom
Sandydragon wrote:
Puja wrote:The whole idea of a new third political party in the UK is utterly pointless until we sort out our antiquated electoral system that forces a two party contest. You cannot have genuine multi-party competition for government while FPtP exists.

It's a point McDonnell appears to have missed in his instant claim that Ummuna et al should call instant by-elections. At least the Secret Seven can be vaguely relied upon as an anti-Tory, anti-austerity voting bloc, whereas a by-election would likely see some of the seats lost to the Conservatives if the left vote split evenly.

Puja
If it’s just 7 MPs then it will make little difference. If a larger number move across then it could become very interesting. Their immediate disadvantage is that they don’t have the party machinery to support them, but they could split votes.
I imagine a fair few less loony Tories will join them. Then they'll be bigger than the Lib Dems...

If it means we have a "centrist" party, great. They'll take votes from both Tories and Labour. And until either other party gets their act together and makes the "difficult" decision regarding Brexit, they'll get votes.

Re: Brexit delayed

Posted: Tue Feb 19, 2019 12:55 pm
by Sandydragon
The Tory problem is infiltration from UKIP which is helped by some of the right wing MPs who have lurked under the radar for years and have only recently got any media attention.

There is still an opportunity to redeem the party and pull it back towards the centre. But if Boris or JRM become the next leader, then standby for defections.

Re: Brexit delayed

Posted: Tue Feb 19, 2019 1:18 pm
by Stom
Sandydragon wrote:The Tory problem is infiltration from UKIP which is helped by some of the right wing MPs who have lurked under the radar for years and have only recently got any media attention.

There is still an opportunity to redeem the party and pull it back towards the centre. But if Boris or JRM become the next leader, then standby for defections.
May's Brexit stance has alienated too much of the party. There's at least 3-4 MPs who could leave and join this new "centrist" party.

And for the Conservatives to return to centre-right would need Ummama to give up the centre-right he's just staking claim to.

No, the Conservatives are going to be right, Labour are going to be left. The new party will be centre-right and the Lib Dems will be centre-left until they crash and burn very soon thanks to some of the worst leadership decisions ever made.

Re: Brexit delayed

Posted: Tue Feb 19, 2019 2:39 pm
by Digby
Parties come and go all the time, it's only the Conservative party of the current lot who've shown any durability.

Very likely the seven get nowhere, but that's not an end to seeking a new beginning. And there's plenty of momentum which can be realised if it's wanted

Re: Brexit delayed

Posted: Tue Feb 19, 2019 2:41 pm
by Digby
Calling Chukka centre right made me chortle

Re: Brexit delayed

Posted: Tue Feb 19, 2019 4:45 pm
by Sandydragon
Digby wrote:Calling Chukka centre right made me chortle
Yeah, new too.

Re: Brexit delayed

Posted: Tue Feb 19, 2019 11:35 pm
by canta_brian
Sandydragon wrote:
Puja wrote:The whole idea of a new third political party in the UK is utterly pointless until we sort out our antiquated electoral system that forces a two party contest. You cannot have genuine multi-party competition for government while FPtP exists.

It's a point McDonnell appears to have missed in his instant claim that Ummuna et al should call instant by-elections. At least the Secret Seven can be vaguely relied upon as an anti-Tory, anti-austerity voting bloc, whereas a by-election would likely see some of the seats lost to the Conservatives if the left vote split evenly.

Puja
If it’s just 7 MPs then it will make little difference. If a larger number move across then it could become very interesting. Their immediate disadvantage is that they don’t have the party machinery to support them, but they could split votes.
Agree it’s just 7, this evening they are up to 8. The Dup has only 10 and that was worth a billion.

Any chance this will end up being a move towards proportional representation?

Re: Brexit delayed

Posted: Wed Feb 20, 2019 7:04 am
by Digby
Sandydragon wrote:
Puja wrote:The whole idea of a new third political party in the UK is utterly pointless until we sort out our antiquated electoral system that forces a two party contest. You cannot have genuine multi-party competition for government while FPtP exists.

It's a point McDonnell appears to have missed in his instant claim that Ummuna et al should call instant by-elections. At least the Secret Seven can be vaguely relied upon as an anti-Tory, anti-austerity voting bloc, whereas a by-election would likely see some of the seats lost to the Conservatives if the left vote split evenly.

Puja
If it’s just 7 MPs then it will make little difference. If a larger number move across then it could become very interesting. Their immediate disadvantage is that they don’t have the party machinery to support them, but they could split votes.
Even just the 8 gives May a headache, before the ERG had the far stronger nuclear option of bringing down the government by splitting off. Now May can't afford to lose even a low number of europhiles who suddenly have a possible home

Re: Brexit delayed

Posted: Wed Feb 20, 2019 8:06 am
by Sandydragon
canta_brian wrote:
Sandydragon wrote:
Puja wrote:The whole idea of a new third political party in the UK is utterly pointless until we sort out our antiquated electoral system that forces a two party contest. You cannot have genuine multi-party competition for government while FPtP exists.

It's a point McDonnell appears to have missed in his instant claim that Ummuna et al should call instant by-elections. At least the Secret Seven can be vaguely relied upon as an anti-Tory, anti-austerity voting bloc, whereas a by-election would likely see some of the seats lost to the Conservatives if the left vote split evenly.

Puja
If it’s just 7 MPs then it will make little difference. If a larger number move across then it could become very interesting. Their immediate disadvantage is that they don’t have the party machinery to support them, but they could split votes.
Agree it’s just 7, this evening they are up to 8. The Dup has only 10 and that was worth a billion.

Any chance this will end up being a move towards proportional representation?
I very much doubt it.

Re: Brexit delayed

Posted: Wed Feb 20, 2019 8:07 am
by Sandydragon
Digby wrote:
Sandydragon wrote:
Puja wrote:The whole idea of a new third political party in the UK is utterly pointless until we sort out our antiquated electoral system that forces a two party contest. You cannot have genuine multi-party competition for government while FPtP exists.

It's a point McDonnell appears to have missed in his instant claim that Ummuna et al should call instant by-elections. At least the Secret Seven can be vaguely relied upon as an anti-Tory, anti-austerity voting bloc, whereas a by-election would likely see some of the seats lost to the Conservatives if the left vote split evenly.

Puja
If it’s just 7 MPs then it will make little difference. If a larger number move across then it could become very interesting. Their immediate disadvantage is that they don’t have the party machinery to support them, but they could split votes.
Even just the 8 gives May a headache, before the ERG had the far stronger nuclear option of bringing down the government by splitting off. Now May can't afford to lose even a low number of europhiles who suddenly have a possible home
May could do with 40 odd Labour MPs jumping ship so she could ignore the ERG.

Re: Brexit delayed

Posted: Wed Feb 20, 2019 8:29 am
by fivepointer
https://www.prospectmagazine.co.uk/poli ... sideration

Seems a logical, sane way forward. Will MPs grasp the opportunity?

Re: Brexit delayed

Posted: Wed Feb 20, 2019 9:09 am
by Banquo
Digby wrote:
Sandydragon wrote:
Puja wrote:The whole idea of a new third political party in the UK is utterly pointless until we sort out our antiquated electoral system that forces a two party contest. You cannot have genuine multi-party competition for government while FPtP exists.

It's a point McDonnell appears to have missed in his instant claim that Ummuna et al should call instant by-elections. At least the Secret Seven can be vaguely relied upon as an anti-Tory, anti-austerity voting bloc, whereas a by-election would likely see some of the seats lost to the Conservatives if the left vote split evenly.

Puja
If it’s just 7 MPs then it will make little difference. If a larger number move across then it could become very interesting. Their immediate disadvantage is that they don’t have the party machinery to support them, but they could split votes.
Even just the 8 gives May a headache, before the ERG had the far stronger nuclear option of bringing down the government by splitting off. Now May can't afford to lose even a low number of europhiles who suddenly have a possible home
Could find ourselves in an election.....

Re: Brexit delayed

Posted: Wed Feb 20, 2019 9:55 am
by Digby
Banquo wrote: Could find ourselves in an election.....
We really only need a big hike in inflation and we'd be ticking banana republic status across the board

Re: Brexit delayed

Posted: Wed Feb 20, 2019 11:19 am
by Puja
Digby wrote:
Banquo wrote: Could find ourselves in an election.....
We really only need a big hike in inflation and we'd be ticking banana republic status across the board
I think you'll find banana republics actually have exports.

Puja

Re: Brexit delayed

Posted: Wed Feb 20, 2019 11:53 am
by Zhivago
3 tory defectors confirmed, we're up to eleven now

Re: Brexit delayed

Posted: Wed Feb 20, 2019 12:36 pm
by Stom
Zhivago wrote:3 tory defectors confirmed, we're up to eleven now
There will be more. Bigger than the Lib Dems already :lol:

Re: Brexit delayed

Posted: Wed Feb 20, 2019 1:08 pm
by Sandydragon
Stom wrote:
Zhivago wrote:3 tory defectors confirmed, we're up to eleven now
There will be more. Bigger than the Lib Dems already :lol:
4th biggest party in parliament. If they get to third place then they get some additional privileges IIRC, provided they are actually a party of course.

Re: Brexit delayed

Posted: Wed Feb 20, 2019 1:22 pm
by Digby
Any Lib Dems joined yet?

Re: Brexit delayed

Posted: Wed Feb 20, 2019 1:31 pm
by Stom
Digby wrote:Any Lib Dems joined yet?
Are any of them actually alive?

Re: Brexit delayed

Posted: Wed Feb 20, 2019 1:33 pm
by fivepointer
i dont know where the TIG is going. It may turn into a damp squib. It may flounder badly when it comes under close scrutiny, but its quite astonishing that it is registering a double digit score in a poll today when it isnt a proper party.
Watching the abysmal performance of May and Corbyn at PMQ's and the wretched quality of so many front benchers in Parliament, its really not surprising people are at least interested in looking at an alternative.

Re: Brexit delayed

Posted: Wed Feb 20, 2019 1:38 pm
by Digby
Stom wrote:
Digby wrote:Any Lib Dems joined yet?
Are any of them actually alive?
I heard from one of them just the other day so yes

But more importantly the letter from those leaving the Conservative party starts Dear Prime minister and ends yours sincerely, is PM a name or should that not end faithfully, or is it sincerely as to end a letter saying you're deserting someone faithfully would be absurd?

Re: Brexit delayed

Posted: Wed Feb 20, 2019 1:52 pm
by Puja
Stom wrote:
Digby wrote:Any Lib Dems joined yet?
Are any of them actually alive?
They've been replaced by a shirt PERL script that just asks for a second referendum every PMQs
Digby wrote: But more importantly the letter from those leaving the Conservative party starts Dear Prime minister and ends yours sincerely, is PM a name or should that not end faithfully, or is it sincerely as to end a letter saying you're deserting someone faithfully would be absurd?
I'd say PM is a name/title. It's clearly being used as a direct and specific form of address, so yours sincerely is appropriate to my mind.

Mind, never mind about politicians not being faithful, it's a bit of a stretch to suggest many of them are sincere!

Puja

Re: Brexit delayed

Posted: Wed Feb 20, 2019 2:33 pm
by Which Tyler
Puja wrote:I'd say PM is a name/title. It's clearly being used as a direct and specific form of address, so yours sincerely is appropriate to my mind.

Mind, never mind about politicians not being faithful, it's a bit of a stretch to suggest many of them are sincere!
50-odd of them are sincerely deluded (including mine - who replied to my letter with a bunch of cloud cookooland lies)

Re: Brexit delayed

Posted: Wed Feb 20, 2019 5:45 pm
by Zhivago
I'm hoping it becomes a transient grouping to bring soft Brexit or even no Brexit. Then they can fade into the ether with their unelectable neoliberal guff.

Re: Brexit delayed

Posted: Wed Feb 20, 2019 5:51 pm
by Zhivago