Re: Europe - in or out - RR Votes
Posted: Sat Jun 25, 2016 3:52 pm
From a poll of 12,000 people on referendum day


I'm about ready to go home anyway mate. Fuck this place. What about you?jared_7 wrote:From a poll of 12,000 people on referendum day
Hahaha its sort of a bit funny stirring the pot. And besides, it ain't much better back home anyway. Other than the scenery and beaches and weather, of course.Len wrote:
I'm about ready to go home anyway mate. Fuck this place.
We've had a crap last 12 months with this hanging around, of which I've mostly expected such outcome, though I was oddly optimistic on Thursday (that'll learn me)Mellsblue wrote:I don't think anybody thinks there won't be costs regardless of which course we take. I'd much rather short term pain than a long term cock-up. Though, I'll admit my income isn't at risk.Digby wrote:Mellsblue wrote: It's 4 weeks out of 104, and as I've said informal negotiations can begin whenever. Once article 50 is triggered you've got 2 years and if you get to the end of those two years and negotiations are not quite finished then tough, the divorce happens. That would lead to chaos.
Speed isn't nearly as important as getting it right. Botch the negotiations and people will suffer for years. Trade deals take years to negotiate, how anyone thinks we can 'consciously uncouple' (hat tip to Gwyneth) speedily is beyond me. Though, I have to admit, why trade deals take so long is also beyond me.
4 weeks which may cost me a fair whack of money, and 12-15 people their jobs. Or I may just sell up in which case everyone will likely be out of work. By all means take the time, but it'll come with costs too
And what if it gets nasty?jared_7 wrote:Hahaha its sort of a bit funny stirring the pot. And besides, it ain't much better back home anyway. Other than the scenery and beaches and weather, of course.Len wrote:
I'm about ready to go home anyway mate. Fuck this place.
My next move is to the States and I'm thinking whats happening here will be a walk in the park compared to whats on the horizon over there.Len wrote:And what if it gets nasty?jared_7 wrote:Hahaha its sort of a bit funny stirring the pot. And besides, it ain't much better back home anyway. Other than the scenery and beaches and weather, of course.Len wrote:
I'm about ready to go home anyway mate. Fuck this place.
Blimey they wouldn't even tell whole truths about net contributions or the Treasury predictions. A cogent plan of what Brexit hoped the future looked like is pie in the sky!! The problem was that Bexit knew that to win over those they needed or indeed could win over then a cogent plan wasn't required. I wholly agree with you, though. If I were a 'Bregreter' I'd be looking at mounting a legal challenge due to being mis-sold a product.Digby wrote:We've had a crap last 12 months with this hanging around, of which I've mostly expected such outcome, though I was oddly optimistic on Thursday (that'll learn me)Mellsblue wrote:I don't think anybody thinks there won't be costs regardless of which course we take. I'd much rather short term pain than a long term cock-up. Though, I'll admit my income isn't at risk.Digby wrote:
4 weeks which may cost me a fair whack of money, and 12-15 people their jobs. Or I may just sell up in which case everyone will likely be out of work. By all means take the time, but it'll come with costs too
Some of the concerns of clients are nonsense, some are in fairness quite reasonable and as yet we've no idea what we can do about that, if anything. And I do think by now, actually long before now, we should have known exactly what BRexit wanted to negotiate, it's far too unclear a picture and far too important to know they want to change something without knowing specifically what. They may not have been able to deliver change in the areas they wanted, just as the government may fail on its manifesto, but they're not coming close to saying what they want to do. We want to get rid of EU redtape is a nonsense line for instance, I need to know which bits, and what if anything will replace it or at least what the aims allied to principles will be of what comes next.
I suspect had the BRexit campaign had to cite which areas of the various treaties they actually wanted to change, and let's be honest we could be looking at 90%+ no change other than EU law being replaced by damn near identical UK law, it'd have made it harder for them to win as they'd have had something to be held accountable against. As of yesterday and today I feel physically sick about likely having to tell a good number their well paid jobs are gone, even more so that with the uncertainty it's nigh on impossible to know what if anything can be done. Well I suppose I know I could plough a lot more money into the business and just take the hit if it doesn't work out, but that'd mean giving the bank something, and that's a big step given again I don't know what the possible change(s) might be - and this could easily cost me my house should I try to ride it out.
I thought a similar thing about the Scottish Independence vote, that the leave side had almost no actual delivery in telling people what would change, and what would actually replace it. I also think the EU might be now like to know what it is the UK actually wants, instead we're going to have to step back and wait for a new PM, and then they'll likely start a consultation/review process
Nek minitjared_7 wrote:My next move is to the States and I'm thinking whats happening here will be a walk in the park compared to whats on the horizon over there.Len wrote:And what if it gets nasty?jared_7 wrote:
Hahaha its sort of a bit funny stirring the pot. And besides, it ain't much better back home anyway. Other than the scenery and beaches and weather, of course.
The whole world is f*cked, bro. And thats before you even think about the environment. Think we're past the point of fixing it.
Genuinely sorry to hear about yr problems Digby. Its the thing that upsets me the most about these last couple of referenda is exactly what you've highlighted - the utter absence of any meaning or detail. It literally just comes down to who is willing to tell the biggest lie with the straightest face in the most public arena, and anyone who dares speak up is just shouted down, ostracised and ignored. And then people like you are left swinging in the breeze thru no fault of your own.Digby wrote:We've had a crap last 12 months with this hanging around, of which I've mostly expected such outcome, though I was oddly optimistic on Thursday (that'll learn me)Mellsblue wrote:I don't think anybody thinks there won't be costs regardless of which course we take. I'd much rather short term pain than a long term cock-up. Though, I'll admit my income isn't at risk.Digby wrote:
4 weeks which may cost me a fair whack of money, and 12-15 people their jobs. Or I may just sell up in which case everyone will likely be out of work. By all means take the time, but it'll come with costs too
Some of the concerns of clients are nonsense, some are in fairness quite reasonable and as yet we've no idea what we can do about that, if anything. And I do think by now, actually long before now, we should have known exactly what BRexit wanted to negotiate, it's far too unclear a picture and far too important to know they want to change something without knowing specifically what. They may not have been able to deliver change in the areas they wanted, just as the government may fail on its manifesto, but they're not coming close to saying what they want to do. We want to get rid of EU redtape is a nonsense line for instance, I need to know which bits, and what if anything will replace it or at least what the aims allied to principles will be of what comes next.
I suspect had the BRexit campaign had to cite which areas of the various treaties they actually wanted to change, and let's be honest we could be looking at 90%+ no change other than EU law being replaced by damn near identical UK law, it'd have made it harder for them to win as they'd have had something to be held accountable against. As of yesterday and today I feel physically sick about likely having to tell a good number their well paid jobs are gone, even more so that with the uncertainty it's nigh on impossible to know what if anything can be done. Well I suppose I know I could plough a lot more money into the business and just take the hit if it doesn't work out, but that'd mean giving the bank something, and that's a big step given again I don't know what the possible change(s) might be - and this could easily cost me my house should I try to ride it out.
I thought a similar thing about the Scottish Independence vote, that the leave side had almost no actual delivery in telling people what would change, and what would actually replace it. I also think the EU might be now like to know what it is the UK actually wants, instead we're going to have to step back and wait for a new PM, and then they'll likely start a consultation/review process
I'd live without them saying what they hoped the future will look like, and settle for what do they actually want to change. What the future looks like depends on not just them but the EU, TTIP and all the rest of it. It's reasonable they don't know what others will concede/agree to, it's not acceptable they haven't detailed which aspects of current agreements they want to put a red line through or seek some amendment on, and what they'd not seek to change.Mellsblue wrote: Blimey they wouldn't even tell whole truths about net contributions or the Treasury predictions. A cogent plan of what Brexit hoped the future looked like is pie in the sky!! The problem was that Bexit knew that to win over those they needed or indeed could win over then a cogent plan wasn't required. I wholly agree with you, though. If I were a 'Bregreter' I'd be looking at mounting a legal challenge due to being mis-sold a product.
And I think therein lies a massive part of the problem. No one believed politicians because hey lie almost constantly and for many people they assumed the remain side were lying as much as the leavers (and in many ways they were). So this was as much a vote against the establishment as it was for any new way.Digby wrote:I'd live without them saying what they hoped the future will look like, and settle for what do they actually want to change. What the future looks like depends on not just them but the EU, TTIP and all the rest of it. It's reasonable they don't know what others will concede/agree to, it's not acceptable they haven't detailed which aspects of current agreements they want to put a red line through or seek some amendment on, and what they'd not seek to change.Mellsblue wrote: Blimey they wouldn't even tell whole truths about net contributions or the Treasury predictions. A cogent plan of what Brexit hoped the future looked like is pie in the sky!! The problem was that Bexit knew that to win over those they needed or indeed could win over then a cogent plan wasn't required. I wholly agree with you, though. If I were a 'Bregreter' I'd be looking at mounting a legal challenge due to being mis-sold a product.
I wouldn't be looking at mounting a legal challenge based on some sort of fraud, if the electorate have been had that's their fault, and too both sides were spouting dribble.
Juncker might be given his marching orders. That'll remove one huge political ego from the equation.Sandydragon wrote:And I think therein lies a massive part of the problem. No one believed politicians because hey lie almost constantly and for many people they assumed the remain side were lying as much as the leavers (and in many ways they were). So this was as much a vote against the establishment as it was for any new way.Digby wrote:I'd live without them saying what they hoped the future will look like, and settle for what do they actually want to change. What the future looks like depends on not just them but the EU, TTIP and all the rest of it. It's reasonable they don't know what others will concede/agree to, it's not acceptable they haven't detailed which aspects of current agreements they want to put a red line through or seek some amendment on, and what they'd not seek to change.Mellsblue wrote: Blimey they wouldn't even tell whole truths about net contributions or the Treasury predictions. A cogent plan of what Brexit hoped the future looked like is pie in the sky!! The problem was that Bexit knew that to win over those they needed or indeed could win over then a cogent plan wasn't required. I wholly agree with you, though. If I were a 'Bregreter' I'd be looking at mounting a legal challenge due to being mis-sold a product.
I wouldn't be looking at mounting a legal challenge based on some sort of fraud, if the electorate have been had that's their fault, and too both sides were spouting dribble.
Sorry to hear about your business issues, the uncertainty is a lousy place to be. With a two year divorce to endure, I do t see much certainty during that period either, unless politicians on all sides put egos aside and do what's best for everyone. Uncertainty will hurt the EU as much as us and the likes of Germany will be in much the same boat given the amount of trade between us.
Sadly I think politics will over rule economics.
Fingers crossed, and the rest of Europe will thank us. If there is one thing we can all agree on its him being a right little c*nt.Mellsblue wrote: Juncker might be given his marching orders. That'll remove one huge political ego from the equation.
Amen.jared_7 wrote:Fingers crossed, and the rest of Europe will thank us. If there is one thing we can all agree on its him being a right little c*nt.Mellsblue wrote: Juncker might be given his marching orders. That'll remove one huge political ego from the equation.
Just not relevant. This has been a problem since the eastern block countries joined the eu. Do your research, local councils were screaming about overstretch back then. Syrian refugee crisis might have been the icing on the cake, but linking in the Arab Israfli conflict is deluded.rowan wrote:Hmmm...that Pulizer was for the writing only I guess. No relevance to Brexit, or marginally at best.
Well, another multi award-winning journalist, namely John Pilger, has said much the same:
The reason millions of refugees have fled the Middle East – first Iraq, now Syria – are the invasions and imperial mayhem of Britain, the United States, France, the European Union and Nato. Before that, there was the wilful destruction of Yugoslavia. Before that, there was the theft of Palestine and the imposition of Israel. http://www.counterpunch.org/2016/06/24/ ... to-europe/
Oh hell, yes please. I think merkel will be the key. If German businesses luck up s stink about lost revenue then something will shift. The French might kick off, but if the Germans push for a reasonable deal then it's game on.Mellsblue wrote:Juncker might be given his marching orders. That'll remove one huge political ego from the equation.Sandydragon wrote:And I think therein lies a massive part of the problem. No one believed politicians because hey lie almost constantly and for many people they assumed the remain side were lying as much as the leavers (and in many ways they were). So this was as much a vote against the establishment as it was for any new way.Digby wrote:
I'd live without them saying what they hoped the future will look like, and settle for what do they actually want to change. What the future looks like depends on not just them but the EU, TTIP and all the rest of it. It's reasonable they don't know what others will concede/agree to, it's not acceptable they haven't detailed which aspects of current agreements they want to put a red line through or seek some amendment on, and what they'd not seek to change.
I wouldn't be looking at mounting a legal challenge based on some sort of fraud, if the electorate have been had that's their fault, and too both sides were spouting dribble.
Sorry to hear about your business issues, the uncertainty is a lousy place to be. With a two year divorce to endure, I do t see much certainty during that period either, unless politicians on all sides put egos aside and do what's best for everyone. Uncertainty will hurt the EU as much as us and the likes of Germany will be in much the same boat given the amount of trade between us.
Sadly I think politics will over rule economics.
Fair enough. It's worth reading the whole article though, almost changes my mind about the whole Brexit thing. From my own perspective, all it means is I've lost my right to work legally in Europe - but I haven't exercised that right for over a decade anyway, and right now have no plan to do so (hypothetically-speaking, of course).Sandydragon wrote:Just not relevant. This has been a problem since the eastern block countries joined the eu. Do your research, local councils were screaming about overstretch back then. Syrian refugee crisis might have been the icing on the cake, but linking in the Arab Israfli conflict is deluded.rowan wrote:Hmmm...that Pulizer was for the writing only I guess. No relevance to Brexit, or marginally at best.
Well, another multi award-winning journalist, namely John Pilger, has said much the same:
The reason millions of refugees have fled the Middle East – first Iraq, now Syria – are the invasions and imperial mayhem of Britain, the United States, France, the European Union and Nato. Before that, there was the wilful destruction of Yugoslavia. Before that, there was the theft of Palestine and the imposition of Israel. http://www.counterpunch.org/2016/06/24/ ... to-europe/
Its a good article, albeit covering a much larger scope of the worlds ills than just Brexit. Brexit is fine and could be good in the long run, I just don't think riding on the wave of scapegoating immigrants in behind 3 Eton-educated extreme pro-corporatist Conservatives is the way you want to go about it. More good can be achieved outside the EU, but so can much more bad, in simple terms.rowan wrote:Fair enough. It's worth reading the whole article though, almost changes my mind about the whole Brexit thing. From my own perspective, all it means is I've lost my right to work legally in Europe - but I haven't exercised that right for over a decade anyway, and right now have no plan to do so (hypothetically-speaking, of course).Sandydragon wrote:Just not relevant. This has been a problem since the eastern block countries joined the eu. Do your research, local councils were screaming about overstretch back then. Syrian refugee crisis might have been the icing on the cake, but linking in the Arab Israfli conflict is deluded.rowan wrote:Hmmm...that Pulizer was for the writing only I guess. No relevance to Brexit, or marginally at best.
Well, another multi award-winning journalist, namely John Pilger, has said much the same:
The reason millions of refugees have fled the Middle East – first Iraq, now Syria – are the invasions and imperial mayhem of Britain, the United States, France, the European Union and Nato. Before that, there was the wilful destruction of Yugoslavia. Before that, there was the theft of Palestine and the imposition of Israel. http://www.counterpunch.org/2016/06/24/ ... to-europe/
His subjectivity comes across throughout that article, it reads like a bash the EU regardless rather than serious analysis.rowan wrote:
Fair enough. It's worth reading the whole article though, almost changes my mind about the whole Brexit thing. From my own perspective, all it means is I've lost my right to work legally in Europe - but I haven't exercised that right for over a decade anyway, and right now have no plan to do so (hypothetically-speaking, of course).
As if they could be rounded up anyway. How many human rights laws would it violate to round up Polish people and dump them homeless?BigAl wrote:Well it's already looking like the EU are hanging any future trade deal on the continued free movement of labour, so any brexiter hoping the Poles were going home is in for a disappointment.
As if they could be rounded up anyway. How many human rights laws would it violate to round up Polish people and dump them homeless?BigAl wrote:Well it's already looking like the EU are hanging any future trade deal on the continued free movement of labour, so any brexiter hoping the Poles were going home is in for a disappointment.