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Re: If Russia invades Ukraine (more)...
Posted: Fri Aug 05, 2022 1:08 pm
by Puja
Sandydragon wrote:Puja wrote:Mellsblue wrote:I’m no expert but this seems, erm, ill-thought-out.
Shockingly enough, Amnesty, that is what happens when someone invades a country and takes over populated residential cities. I can hardly think Ukraine is doing it on purpose to use human shields, given that the Russian military has amply demonstrated how few fucks they give over murdering civilians, so I'd imagine this is just what happens when you attempt to retake populated areas of your country that someone else invaded.
Puja
OK, technically putting military targets in civilian areas and thus exposing non-combatants to harm is a war crime, Amnesty are right there (assuming that this has been deliberate and the use of civilian buildings has been done before the civilians moved out).
BUT, when you look at the Ukraine invasion as a whole, there is clearly one side that is doing its best to play by the rules of armed conflict and the other is hell bent on near genocide. Giving the latter any form of moral cover by blaming Ukraine is incredibly naive at best.
The laws of armed conflict are great in theory, but some are almost impossible to adhere to. Fighting in built up areas makes the risk of collateral damage very high even when precision is attempted, and hard to avoid putting legitimate military targets next to non-combatants.
Was reading an article on this today and the point made was that yes, schools are being used as bases, but children have not been physically attending school in Ukraine since the invasion began, and right now the schools are empty buildings with excellent transport links, lots of interlinked, well-laid out space, and multiple bathrooms. Some form of discretion has to be used by the people making these judgements on war-crimes.
Can't help but feel that Amnesty are trying to do a Kier Starmer-esque pre-emptive block on criticism that they're not being neutral by showing that they are looking at both sides and aren't just commenting on Russian atrocities, and they've just massively misunderstood how much of a blunder that is.
Puja
Re: If Russia invades Ukraine (more)...
Posted: Fri Aug 05, 2022 3:13 pm
by Sandydragon
Puja wrote:Sandydragon wrote:Puja wrote:
Shockingly enough, Amnesty, that is what happens when someone invades a country and takes over populated residential cities. I can hardly think Ukraine is doing it on purpose to use human shields, given that the Russian military has amply demonstrated how few fucks they give over murdering civilians, so I'd imagine this is just what happens when you attempt to retake populated areas of your country that someone else invaded.
Puja
OK, technically putting military targets in civilian areas and thus exposing non-combatants to harm is a war crime, Amnesty are right there (assuming that this has been deliberate and the use of civilian buildings has been done before the civilians moved out).
BUT, when you look at the Ukraine invasion as a whole, there is clearly one side that is doing its best to play by the rules of armed conflict and the other is hell bent on near genocide. Giving the latter any form of moral cover by blaming Ukraine is incredibly naive at best.
The laws of armed conflict are great in theory, but some are almost impossible to adhere to. Fighting in built up areas makes the risk of collateral damage very high even when precision is attempted, and hard to avoid putting legitimate military targets next to non-combatants.
Was reading an article on this today and the point made was that yes, schools are being used as bases, but children have not been physically attending school in Ukraine since the invasion began, and right now the schools are empty buildings with excellent transport links, lots of interlinked, well-laid out space, and multiple bathrooms. Some form of discretion has to be used by the people making these judgements on war-crimes.
Can't help but feel that Amnesty are trying to do a Kier Starmer-esque pre-emptive block on criticism that they're not being neutral by showing that they are looking at both sides and aren't just commenting on Russian atrocities, and they've just massively misunderstood how much of a blunder that is.
Puja
I think Amnesty have commented on Russian atrocities, quite a few times. This one stands out because its criticism of Ukraine. And there is a huge difference in using an empty school as a HQ and sheltering your HQ in a school filled with kids. Its very likely in an urban environment that Ukraininan armed forces have been operating near non combatants - without evacuating civilians thats always going to happen. But I think you have hit the nail on the head, Amnesty want to be seen to be neutral, even one sides crimes are so manifestly disproportionate to the others.
Re: If Russia invades Ukraine (more)...
Posted: Fri Aug 05, 2022 3:24 pm
by Mellsblue
It’s also a gift to Russia’s disinformation campaign. They can now attack any building/infrastructure the like and just say it was a military operation as the Amnesty International have already shown.
Also, there’s no need to be neutral when one country invaded another with absolute zero provocation.
Re: If Russia invades Ukraine (more)...
Posted: Fri Aug 05, 2022 3:31 pm
by Sandydragon
Mellsblue wrote:It’s also a gift to Russia’s disinformation campaign. They can now attack any building/infrastructure the like and just say it was a military operation as the Amnesty International have already shown.
Also, there’s no need to be neutral when one country invaded another with absolute zero provocation.
Exactly this.
Re: If Russia invades Ukraine (more)...
Posted: Sat Aug 06, 2022 9:56 am
by Mellsblue
Re: If Russia invades Ukraine (more)...
Posted: Sat Aug 06, 2022 1:26 pm
by Puja
Mellsblue wrote:It’s also a gift to Russia’s disinformation campaign. They can now attack any building/infrastructure the like and just say it was a military operation as the Amnesty International have already shown.
Also, there’s no need to be neutral when one country invaded another with absolute zero provocation.
As you said:
FZdoaT9XEAEtfyW.jpeg
Puja
Re: If Russia invades Ukraine (more)...
Posted: Sat Aug 06, 2022 8:18 pm
by Sandydragon
Puja wrote:Mellsblue wrote:It’s also a gift to Russia’s disinformation campaign. They can now attack any building/infrastructure the like and just say it was a military operation as the Amnesty International have already shown.
Also, there’s no need to be neutral when one country invaded another with absolute zero provocation.
As you said:
FZdoaT9XEAEtfyW.jpeg
Puja
Fecking clueless. Or totally in bed with anyone who is anti west. Not sure which but they have given the Russians a propaganda boost.
Re: If Russia invades Ukraine (more)...
Posted: Sat Aug 06, 2022 9:45 pm
by cashead
Read the fucking room, Amnesty.
Re: If Russia invades Ukraine (more)...
Posted: Sun Aug 07, 2022 4:54 pm
by Son of Mathonwy
Puja wrote:Mellsblue wrote:It’s also a gift to Russia’s disinformation campaign. They can now attack any building/infrastructure the like and just say it was a military operation as the Amnesty International have already shown.
Also, there’s no need to be neutral when one country invaded another with absolute zero provocation.
As you said:
FZdoaT9XEAEtfyW.jpeg
Puja
Assuming that Amnesty International have got the law right, and that Ukraine
has breached International humanitarian law, then - though I say it through clenched teeth - I think they're correct to raise this.
AI are in Ukraine to investigate possible breaches of International humanitarian law, war crimes etc. So if they find that Ukraine has been breaking the rules, what credibility would they have if they ignored it? It's not for them to decide who the good guys and bad guys are, they have a specific role and that requires, amongst other things, neutrality.
It's for Ukraine to decide what tactics to employ, and what short or long term cost and benefits ensue. Maybe what they're doing is justified from
some viewpoint, but that's not for AI to decide.
On a positive note, AI are far more critical of Russia than Ukraine (obviously), and so the fact that Russia is using AI as a credible source for their PR will make it harder for them to disregard AI when they highlight Russia's crimes.
https://www.amnesty.org/en/latest/news/ ... n-ukraine/
Re: If Russia invades Ukraine (more)...
Posted: Sun Aug 07, 2022 7:41 pm
by Zhivago
Son of Mathonwy wrote:Puja wrote:Mellsblue wrote:It’s also a gift to Russia’s disinformation campaign. They can now attack any building/infrastructure the like and just say it was a military operation as the Amnesty International have already shown.
Also, there’s no need to be neutral when one country invaded another with absolute zero provocation.
As you said:
FZdoaT9XEAEtfyW.jpeg
Puja
Assuming that Amnesty International have got the law right, and that Ukraine
has breached International humanitarian law, then - though I say it through clenched teeth - I think they're correct to raise this.
AI are in Ukraine to investigate possible breaches of International humanitarian law, war crimes etc. So if they find that Ukraine has been breaking the rules, what credibility would they have if they ignored it? It's not for them to decide who the good guys and bad guys are, they have a specific role and that requires, amongst other things, neutrality.
It's for Ukraine to decide what tactics to employ, and what short or long term cost and benefits ensue. Maybe what they're doing is justified from
some viewpoint, but that's not for AI to decide.
On a positive note, AI are far more critical of Russia than Ukraine (obviously), and so the fact that Russia is using AI as a credible source for their PR will make it harder for them to disregard AI when they highlight Russia's crimes.
https://www.amnesty.org/en/latest/news/ ... n-ukraine/
The basic definition of protected persons under the fourth Geneva Convention is the following:
"Protected persons" are civilians who find themselves in the hands of a party to the conflict of which they are not nationals.
https://casebook.icrc.org/glossary/protected-persons
Therefore Ukrainian citizens in the hands of Ukrainian authorities seem not to (need to) be protected under the laws of war.
Re: If Russia invades Ukraine (more)...
Posted: Mon Aug 08, 2022 12:53 pm
by Son of Mathonwy
Zhivago wrote:Son of Mathonwy wrote:Puja wrote:
As you said:
FZdoaT9XEAEtfyW.jpeg
Puja
Assuming that Amnesty International have got the law right, and that Ukraine
has breached International humanitarian law, then - though I say it through clenched teeth - I think they're correct to raise this.
AI are in Ukraine to investigate possible breaches of International humanitarian law, war crimes etc. So if they find that Ukraine has been breaking the rules, what credibility would they have if they ignored it? It's not for them to decide who the good guys and bad guys are, they have a specific role and that requires, amongst other things, neutrality.
It's for Ukraine to decide what tactics to employ, and what short or long term cost and benefits ensue. Maybe what they're doing is justified from
some viewpoint, but that's not for AI to decide.
On a positive note, AI are far more critical of Russia than Ukraine (obviously), and so the fact that Russia is using AI as a credible source for their PR will make it harder for them to disregard AI when they highlight Russia's crimes.
https://www.amnesty.org/en/latest/news/ ... n-ukraine/
The basic definition of protected persons under the fourth Geneva Convention is the following:
"Protected persons" are civilians who find themselves in the hands of a party to the conflict of which they are not nationals.
https://casebook.icrc.org/glossary/protected-persons
Therefore Ukrainian citizens in the hands of Ukrainian authorities seem not to (need to) be protected under the laws of war.
Do you think that means they're not protected by international humanitarian law? (I'm no expert on this)
Anyway, my point is that - assuming there IS a breach of international humanitarian law - Amnesty are correct to raise this. If they've got the law wrong (which would be a bit of a shocker for AI) obviously they've made a disastrous mistake.
Re: If Russia invades Ukraine (more)...
Posted: Mon Aug 08, 2022 1:44 pm
by Mellsblue
Mellsblue wrote:
This bloke is a UN war crime investigator.
Re: If Russia invades Ukraine (more)...
Posted: Mon Aug 08, 2022 3:53 pm
by Zhivago
Regarding the report, Ukrainian news is claiming
Amnesty International used the "testimonies" of people who were in prisons or filtration camps in the temporarily occupied territories
Scandalous if so
Re: If Russia invades Ukraine (more)...
Posted: Tue Aug 09, 2022 11:51 pm
by Galfon
Of course, Kiev not taking responsibility for this..
Not sure if it's HIMARS or saboteurs.Alot of damage apparently.
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/lo ... 022-08-09/
Re: If Russia invades Ukraine (more)...
Posted: Wed Aug 10, 2022 11:08 am
by Zhivago
Lots of ammo destroyed and apparently at least 9 planes. Most likely Su-24. Costing the Russian Federation hundreds of millions of dollars in damage.
Re: If Russia invades Ukraine (more)...
Posted: Fri Aug 12, 2022 7:29 am
by cashead
A fairly big chunk of the Russian air force is a smouldering wreck in Crimea, apparently including the entity of the Black Sea Fleet's marine aviation.
Also, cope coming out of Russia is the same shit that they trotted out when the Moskva became part of the sea. "Nuh-uh, the planes blew up of their own volition!"
Re: If Russia invades Ukraine (more)...
Posted: Fri Aug 12, 2022 8:24 pm
by Sandydragon
Mellsblue wrote:Mellsblue wrote:
This bloke is a UN war crime investigator.
That’s kind of how I see it based on everything I’ve ever been taught in pre deployment training.
The bit about protected peoples is interesting and it should be remember that there is an assumption that the defending side would want to keep their population safe whereas the invading force would have fewer concerns. But then there’s the crimes against humanity which do cover the abuse of one’s own population.
Re: If Russia invades Ukraine (more)...
Posted: Fri Aug 12, 2022 8:25 pm
by Sandydragon
Zhivago wrote:
Lots of ammo destroyed and apparently at least 9 planes. Most likely Su-24. Costing the Russian Federation hundreds of millions of dollars in damage.
Russians, and Belorussians, really struggling with cigarette induced fires and other basic accidents.
Re: If Russia invades Ukraine (more)...
Posted: Fri Aug 12, 2022 9:05 pm
by Zhivago
Re: If Russia invades Ukraine (more)...
Posted: Fri Aug 12, 2022 9:07 pm
by Zhivago
Sandydragon wrote:Mellsblue wrote:Mellsblue wrote:
This bloke is a UN war crime investigator.
That’s kind of how I see it based on everything I’ve ever been taught in pre deployment training.
The bit about protected peoples is interesting and it should be remember that there is an assumption that the defending side would want to keep their population safe whereas the
invading force would have fewer concerns.But then there’s the crimes against humanity which do cover the abuse of one’s own population.
Is that a euphemism for actively commits atrocities to terrorise and subjugate?
Re: If Russia invades Ukraine (more)...
Posted: Fri Aug 12, 2022 9:26 pm
by Puja
Sandydragon wrote:Zhivago wrote:
Lots of ammo destroyed and apparently at least 9 planes. Most likely Su-24. Costing the Russian Federation hundreds of millions of dollars in damage.
Russians, and Belorussians, really struggling with cigarette induced fires and other basic accidents.
Smoking kills.
Puja
Re: If Russia invades Ukraine (more)...
Posted: Sat Aug 13, 2022 12:10 am
by Son of Mathonwy
cashead wrote:A fairly big chunk of the Russian air force is a smouldering wreck in Crimea, apparently including the entity of the Black Sea Fleet's marine aviation.
Also, cope coming out of Russia is the same shit that they trotted out when the Moskva became part of the sea. "Nuh-uh, the planes blew up of their own volition!"
Nothing to see here, just launching planes into the air.
(In more pieces than usual.)
Re: If Russia invades Ukraine (more)...
Posted: Sun Aug 14, 2022 3:02 pm
by Galfon
Looks like Sep could be lively...
Apart from less extreme weather, we have Ukr bouyed by progress with new western weapons, hoping to retake the region of Kherson by then.
Meanwhile in Russ, 11 Sep is polling day in their rolling regional elections, so presumably a military victory would be helpful for Putin, followed by his birthday 7 Oct, when his great achievements are usually celebrated. He'll be looking for a big victory somewhere. (real or otherwise).
Meantime Russia is about to form a new ground forces unit, of up to 15-20,000 troops. (MoD), not sure where from or timescale.
Sh!t or bust #23.
Re: If Russia invades Ukraine (more)...
Posted: Sun Aug 14, 2022 3:06 pm
by Which Tyler
Suspicion that Russia removing all their command centres from Kherson might be telling
Re: If Russia invades Ukraine (more)...
Posted: Tue Aug 16, 2022 9:07 pm
by Puja
Looks like Ukraine are going guerilla in Crimea - explosions at train station and military base following the aerodrome explosion, with a major figure in their defence department saying that "further 'accidents' may happen" and that the road bridge linking Crimea to mainland Russia is a legitimate target. In response, 38k cars left via that bridge today (a new record), with the same expected tomorrow as Russian holidaymakers and immigrants GTFO.
Excellent tactics by Ukraine to my mind - partisan and guerilla warfare is their advantage in the occupied territories (and I hope they've fucked up the holidays of rich Russian pricks enjoying the spoils of their conquests) and it's a lot easier to wear Russian soldiers down by continually denying them supplies than it is to assault them directly.
Puja