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Re: v All Blacks III: the Decider
Posted: Fri Jul 07, 2017 5:53 pm
by skidger
I am with Puja. Can see the Lions winning again or a similar score line to the 3rd test in 1993. Best wishes - Trevor Brooking.
Re: v All Blacks III: the Decider
Posted: Fri Jul 07, 2017 10:27 pm
by zer0
Puja wrote:Yeah, they didn't make a huge impression on England in 2014 for the first two tests and then horsed us in the third.
That's typically how things go on modern NH three tests tours of NZ. The second test is the closest and the third the most lopsided.
2012 NZL vs IRE II: 19-3 (+16)
2012 NZL vs IRE III: 60-0 (+60)
2014 NZL vs ENG II: 28-27 (+1)
2014 NZL vs ENG III: 36-13 (+23)
2016 NZL vs WAL II: 36-22 (+14)
2016 NZL vs WAL III: 46-6 (+40)
2013 France are the anomaly in that their first test was the closest (23-13), while they got pantsed slightly more in the second test (30-0) than the third (24-9).
While the Lions are obviously stronger in depth than any of those individual sides, it does suggest a general trend in All Black performances, and NH fatigue, over a series, I think.
paddy no 11 wrote:It wasn't all that bad, retaalick won a few turnovers etc. Apparently lions done 2 sessions the Thursday before which would explain that. Lions hosed the crusaders which had a significant intl presence
So the Lions get 57% possession and 62% territory against the Crusaders and "hosed" them. Whereas the All Blacks get 61% possession and 62% territory against the Lions in the first test and "made no impression". I see.
Re: v All Blacks III: the Decider
Posted: Fri Jul 07, 2017 11:11 pm
by Puja
zer0 wrote:Puja wrote:Yeah, they didn't make a huge impression on England in 2014 for the first two tests and then horsed us in the third.
That's typically how things go on modern NH three tests tours of NZ. The second test is the closest and the third the most lopsided.
2012 NZL vs IRE II: 19-3 (+16)
2012 NZL vs IRE III: 60-0 (+60)
2014 NZL vs ENG II: 28-27 (+1)
2014 NZL vs ENG III: 36-13 (+23)
2016 NZL vs WAL II: 36-22 (+14)
2016 NZL vs WAL III: 46-6 (+40)
2013 France are the anomaly in that their first test was the closest (23-13), while they got pantsed slightly more in the second test (30-0) than the third (24-9).
While the Lions are obviously stronger in depth than any of those individual sides, it does suggest a general trend in All Black performances, and NH fatigue, over a series, I think.
Mind, stats are misleading for that England tour, as we deserved a draw in the first test and lost it through a moment of not paying attention to let in a try, whereas the second test NZ were always in control and we scored a late converted try to make it look as though we'd run you close.
Puja
Re: v All Blacks III: the Decider
Posted: Sat Jul 08, 2017 1:03 am
by Lizard
So it's been raining on and off all morning. The ground (well, my "lawn") is saturated but Eden Park does drain well. It will at best be greasy under foot.
Re: v All Blacks III: the Decider
Posted: Sat Jul 08, 2017 2:50 am
by Eugene Wrayburn
skidger wrote:I am with Puja. Can see the Lions winning again or a similar score line to the 3rd test in 1993. Best wishes - Trevor Brooking.
Aye. I'm not sure that I can see lightning strike in the same place twice. However the revolving door that is the ABs midfield selection policy and as been a full back as one could imagine makes me think we could sneak it
Re: v All Blacks III: the Decider
Posted: Sat Jul 08, 2017 3:17 am
by J Dory
Love that the series is in the balance. Game fckin on!
Sent from my Nexus 6P using Tapatalk
Re: v All Blacks III: the Decider
Posted: Sat Jul 08, 2017 3:35 am
by Lord Lucan
Can the Lions win? certainly.
Will they? if they take their chances, yes, if not, no. The all blacks will take their chances, that is the difference. As we saw in the first test.
Re: v All Blacks III: the Decider
Posted: Sat Jul 08, 2017 4:36 am
by Lizard
Bright sunshine alternating with heavy showers.
Re: v All Blacks III: the Decider
Posted: Sat Jul 08, 2017 6:06 am
by onlynameleft
Surely it is cheating to play at a ground they never lose at. One maybe but twice? Devalued series win.
Re: v All Blacks III: the Decider
Posted: Sat Jul 08, 2017 8:21 am
by Lizard
Literally in the back row. Great atmosphere!

Re: v All Blacks III: the Decider
Posted: Sat Jul 08, 2017 8:22 am
by jared_7
Dear god this UK coverage is appalling. The Welsh bloke sounds like he's literally pissing himself with excitement.
Re: v All Blacks III: the Decider
Posted: Sat Jul 08, 2017 8:27 am
by Silvercloud
Exactly Jared!
Re: v All Blacks III: the Decider
Posted: Sat Jul 08, 2017 8:44 am
by WaspInWales
At least 2 missed tackles from Farrell so far.
Re: v All Blacks III: the Decider
Posted: Sat Jul 08, 2017 8:46 am
by WaspInWales
Another mistake
Re: v All Blacks III: the Decider
Posted: Sat Jul 08, 2017 8:48 am
by Banquo
Faz having a tricky start
Re: v All Blacks III: the Decider
Posted: Sat Jul 08, 2017 8:48 am
by WaspInWales
Another mistake
Re: v All Blacks III: the Decider
Posted: Sat Jul 08, 2017 8:49 am
by Stom
So far NZs best player is Owen Farrell...
Re: v All Blacks III: the Decider
Posted: Sat Jul 08, 2017 8:49 am
by Banquo
Skillz
Re: v All Blacks III: the Decider
Posted: Sat Jul 08, 2017 8:52 am
by WaspInWales
That fwcking miss pass!!
Re: v All Blacks III: the Decider
Posted: Sat Jul 08, 2017 8:53 am
by Galfon
winger had free jump..positioning again..
AB 7-0 after 16m.
Re: v All Blacks III: the Decider
Posted: Sat Jul 08, 2017 8:53 am
by Stom
So far, it's 14 men vs 16 men. Farrell has missed 2 tackles, kicked out on the full, tried to grubber through a ruck, and passed straight to the opposition.
I'm sorry, but surely this has to be the end of his "Iceman" reputation...
Re: v All Blacks III: the Decider
Posted: Sat Jul 08, 2017 8:54 am
by Banquo
both sides playing, love it
Re: v All Blacks III: the Decider
Posted: Sat Jul 08, 2017 8:54 am
by WaspInWales
How long until Barnes tells us Farrell is world class?
Re: v All Blacks III: the Decider
Posted: Sat Jul 08, 2017 8:57 am
by Banquo
Stom wrote:So far, it's 14 men vs 16 men. Farrell has missed 2 tackles, kicked out on the full, tried to grubber through a ruck, and passed straight to the opposition.
I'm sorry, but surely this has to be the end of his "Iceman" reputation...
Yeah but he's kicked a pen so all is good
Re: v All Blacks III: the Decider
Posted: Sat Jul 08, 2017 8:58 am
by Galfon
again, jd2 standing out as highest-level hombre.
7-3..pen.Faz.