That's something I find baffling about this election - everybody saying adamantly that, "We will not do coalitions or deals; we will just run a minority government if we need to, but we're expecting a majority."Sandydragon wrote:That’s a scenario that isn’t getting much attention, what if the Torys remain the largest party but don’t have a majority. If the Brexit party get a fe MPs then their price is clear, would the DUP help Boris vote through a herd Brexit given that his internal opposition is likely to be smothered.Puja wrote:On this evidence, your optimism is sadly misplaced - he looks to be playing a blinder so far. He's just nullified the argument that he's splitting the Brexit vote by offering Johnson a pact that sounds plausible and reasonable to the average spod, but which he knows is impossible to sign up to, and has presented himself both as the spear carrier of Brexit (claiming Boris's deal is Not Brexit) and as the one trying to be reasonable.kk67 wrote:I wonder if farage is actually going to be much of a player in this election. It maybe my terminal optimism but I'm getting the feeling he's a busted hand.
I hate the fucker, but you can't deny he's a very skillful politician and demagogue. I think him doing well is essential to a liberal alliance victory - they might take votes coded as Labour, but they were likely to be ones already lost to Labour and keeping them away from the Conservatives could be worth 20 seats.
Plus, while I do really hate the fucker, a Brexit party presence in Parliament (and a large vote share that doesn't properly represent that) would bring electoral reform back to the forefront. That's something Britain needs far more than anything else.
Puja
It's going to be a hung Parliament or a Conservative majority. Those are the two options available and anyone who claims to believe differently is delusional or outright lying. So why are they busy ruling everything out?
And will Labour and the Lib Dems really stick to their guns about no alliances if Boris can form a minority with 45% and they could make 55% if they banded together with the SNP?
Puja