Snap General Election called

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Mikey Brown
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Re: Snap General Election called

Post by Mikey Brown »

Old people shouldn’t be allowed to vote.
Big D
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Re: Snap General Election called

Post by Big D »

Stom wrote:The nonsense coming out of the Labour Party is atrocious. Good riddance if they’re the kind of people in the party...

The Tories ran the campaign in brexit, the press ran the campaign on brexit, it’s all brexit, ffs.

Leave constituencies are voting to leave. Is that so hard to understand?
After losing 59 seats, losing 7.9% of votes and losing seats in traditionally staunch Labour seats they really are over estimating their "popular support". To claim "huge popular support" as Corbyn put it when they have been pumped it laughable.

They'd have been wiped out in Scotland but for Ian Murray having local support for him as an MP rather than the party.
Banquo
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Re: Snap General Election called

Post by Banquo »

Big D wrote:
Stom wrote:The nonsense coming out of the Labour Party is atrocious. Good riddance if they’re the kind of people in the party...

The Tories ran the campaign in brexit, the press ran the campaign on brexit, it’s all brexit, ffs.

Leave constituencies are voting to leave. Is that so hard to understand?
After losing 59 seats, losing 7.9% of votes and losing seats in traditionally staunch Labour seats they really are over estimating their "popular support". To claim "huge popular support" as Corbyn put it when they have been pumped it laughable.

They'd have been wiped out in Scotland but for Ian Murray having local support for him as an MP rather than the party.
Chairman Ian Lavery proclaims the manifesto as the greatest document ever written by Labour.
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Stom
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Re: Snap General Election called

Post by Stom »

Big D wrote:
Stom wrote:The nonsense coming out of the Labour Party is atrocious. Good riddance if they’re the kind of people in the party...

The Tories ran the campaign in brexit, the press ran the campaign on brexit, it’s all brexit, ffs.

Leave constituencies are voting to leave. Is that so hard to understand?
After losing 59 seats, losing 7.9% of votes and losing seats in traditionally staunch Labour seats they really are over estimating their "popular support". To claim "huge popular support" as Corbyn put it when they have been pumped it laughable.

They'd have been wiped out in Scotland but for Ian Murray having local support for him as an MP rather than the party.
The thing with the Labour manifesto was that they didn't have to appeal to their core support, they needed to appeal to their fringe support while still having their core values within.

So a little less extreme would have been a good idea. Mainly "British Broadband".

But I don't think any campaigning difference would have made any difference.

The only Labour government we've had in recent times was led by someone who was very media savvy, right at the beginning of the minj-resurgence of the press.

Since then, Labour have been pilloried by the media, painted as unfit to lead by every publication and news portal out there except the Daily Mirror, Guardian, and Independent, and to a lesser extent the BBC.

As we've moved further into tribal politics, the UK's electoral system has been coming to this conclusion. There is no way Labour have the press and media support to win in places outside major cities and student towns. So instead they end up with around 40 seats less than they would have got under PR.

The UK needs electoral reform.

If we're going to have a tribal system, where the North and London are so divided, where multicultural places vote Labour and white places vote Tory, and we preach intolerance...

We need electoral reform.

The world has moved into an appalling situation. We have people voting for Trump, Johnson, Orban, Bolsonaro, Duterte, Erdogan, Modi...

People who are either borderline or outright racist, and whose policies are designed to marginalise and force out minorities.

I'm disgusted.
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Stom
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Re: Snap General Election called

Post by Stom »

Banquo wrote:
Big D wrote:
Stom wrote:The nonsense coming out of the Labour Party is atrocious. Good riddance if they’re the kind of people in the party...

The Tories ran the campaign in brexit, the press ran the campaign on brexit, it’s all brexit, ffs.

Leave constituencies are voting to leave. Is that so hard to understand?
After losing 59 seats, losing 7.9% of votes and losing seats in traditionally staunch Labour seats they really are over estimating their "popular support". To claim "huge popular support" as Corbyn put it when they have been pumped it laughable.

They'd have been wiped out in Scotland but for Ian Murray having local support for him as an MP rather than the party.
Chairman Ian Lavery proclaims the manifesto as the greatest document ever written by Labour.
People do double down when they feel things are unfairly maligned.

The Labour manifesto is not terrible. It has holes, but it's not as bad as the Tory manifesto.

Let's not pretend any number of people read either document. They didn't.
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Which Tyler
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Re: Snap General Election called

Post by Which Tyler »

Tory remainers liked the lies about "keep Corbyn out" (I will allow that they were mostly exagerations rather than outright lies; and allow some leeway here).
Labour leavers liked the lies about "get brexit done" despite knowing full well that they were lies.

A victory for duplicity, prejudice and bigotry

I've never been more ashamed to be British

The only glimmer of silver lining is that 50.3% voted for pro-EU parties, compared to 45.6% voting anti-EU - even though that's completely irrelevant in our FPTP system
Last edited by Which Tyler on Fri Dec 13, 2019 9:52 am, edited 1 time in total.
Mikey Brown
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Re: Snap General Election called

Post by Mikey Brown »

Which Tyler wrote:A victory for duplicity, prejudice and bigotry

I've never been more ashamed to be British
This.

Fuck.
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Stom
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Re: Snap General Election called

Post by Stom »

Which Tyler wrote:Tory remainers liked the lies about "keep Corbyn out"
Labour leavers like the lies about "get brexit done" despite knowing that they were lies.

A victory for duplicity, prejudice and bigotry

I've never been more ashamed to be British

The only glimmer of silver lining is that 50.3% voted for pro-EU parties, compared to 45.6% voting anti-EU - even though that's completely irrelevant in our crazy electoral system
I predicted the difference between vote share and seat share...but I didn't think it'd be quite this stark...
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Which Tyler
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Re: Snap General Election called

Post by Which Tyler »

Change of maths - taking in the more minor parties (all parties receiving more than 10,000 votes:
45.7% - 14.4M voted for anti-EU parties (14,400,353)
53.3% - 16.8M voted for pro-EU parties (16,805,681)
1% - 0.3M voted for tiny parties / independants (304,687)
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Sandydragon
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Re: Snap General Election called

Post by Sandydragon »

Well that went well didn’t it?
My remaining hope is that Boris is more amenable to a good deal than the nutters in his party, but with moderates removed it silenced that is a slim hope.

One argument has been resolved though (not that it will be accepted by many), Labour cannot win power from the left. To win it needs to move to the centre. It’s that simple. Will they manage to recognise that, somehow I doubt it. Easier to blame Brexit and the media.
Banquo
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Re: Snap General Election called

Post by Banquo »

Stom wrote:
Banquo wrote:
Big D wrote:
After losing 59 seats, losing 7.9% of votes and losing seats in traditionally staunch Labour seats they really are over estimating their "popular support". To claim "huge popular support" as Corbyn put it when they have been pumped it laughable.

They'd have been wiped out in Scotland but for Ian Murray having local support for him as an MP rather than the party.
Chairman Ian Lavery proclaims the manifesto as the greatest document ever written by Labour.
People do double down when they feel things are unfairly maligned.

The Labour manifesto is not terrible. It has holes, but it's not as bad as the Tory manifesto.

Let's not pretend any number of people read either document. They didn't.
we'll have to disagree, I don't think it is unfairly maligned. Its a very long wish list, and the 'red wall' smelt a rat (you are likely right to say it wasn't read, but they heard all the headlines, and know there is no such thing as a free lunch), disliked Corbyn hugely, and likely most importantly felt cheated by (the perception that) Labour blocking Brexit, and ant-semitism played a part too (I know that gets dismissed as media smears on here, but the lived experience of the likes of Berger, Ellman, Hodge, and Smeeth really can't be ignored). All of this played a part in getting people who would never normally dream of voting Tory ticking the box (and a lot did, notwithstanding Brexit party polling high in some seats); this isn't just my view, but what the likes of Yvette Cooper, John Mann, Ruth Smeeth and others said. I do know from a lobbyist that the Tory manifesto was deliberately simple/sh*t, making sure that only one message was remembered, and that McDonnell/Corbyn/clique went large on the manifesto against policy advisor advice and without involving people like Ashworth (not in the inner circle).

battle being played out tween moderate Labour and Corbynite factions on TV; moderates blaming Corbyn and manifesto (and how hard it was to message),Corbynites solely blaming Brexit.

Gina Miller was very articulate about tactical voting too- it was talked about a lot, but a lot of potential libdem voters switched in the booth as they didn't want to enable a Corbhyn govt. These would likely be Tory remainers I suppose; similarly Libdem voters not giving Labour a leg up.

I agree its been poxy, dispiriting campaign; perhaps the second most dispiriting part was how poor the opposition other than the SNP have performed, when it should have been an open goal (the first being the tawdry elements of the Tory campaign)

(also- turnout)
Last edited by Banquo on Fri Dec 13, 2019 11:01 am, edited 2 times in total.
Banquo
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Re: Snap General Election called

Post by Banquo »

Sandydragon wrote:Well that went well didn’t it?
My remaining hope is that Boris is more amenable to a good deal than the nutters in his party, but with moderates removed it silenced that is a slim hope.

One argument has been resolved though (not that it will be accepted by many), Labour cannot win power from the left. To win it needs to move to the centre. It’s that simple. Will they manage to recognise that, somehow I doubt it. Easier to blame Brexit and the media.
Interesting to see what the large new intake shape up like- seem to be a lot younger and more diverse. As you say, have to hope its not as bad as it could be.
ad_tigger
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Re: Snap General Election called

Post by ad_tigger »

Whole thing leaves me thinking that the only sensible thing to do now as a vaguely left leaning individual of any colour is to join the labour party so at least you get a vote on the next party leader.

There's a hell of a lot more moderates who want Labour closer to the centre than denialist JC fanboys who think that Rebecca Long-Bailey is the obvious next step.
Banquo
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Re: Snap General Election called

Post by Banquo »

ad_tigger wrote:Whole thing leaves me thinking that the only sensible thing to do now as a vaguely left leaning individual of any colour is to join the labour party so at least you get a vote on the next party leader.

There's a hell of a lot more moderates who want Labour closer to the centre than denialist JC fanboys who think that Rebecca Long-Bailey is the obvious next step.
Hear hear; what I would have given for a non Momentum/Jezza Labour party.
Banquo
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Re: Snap General Election called

Post by Banquo »

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Stom
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Re: Snap General Election called

Post by Stom »

Banquo wrote:
Stom wrote:
Banquo wrote: Chairman Ian Lavery proclaims the manifesto as the greatest document ever written by Labour.
People do double down when they feel things are unfairly maligned.

The Labour manifesto is not terrible. It has holes, but it's not as bad as the Tory manifesto.

Let's not pretend any number of people read either document. They didn't.
we'll have to disagree, I don't think it is unfairly maligned. Its a very long wish list, and the 'red wall' smelt a rat (you are likely right to say it wasn't read, but they heard all the headlines, and know there is no such thing as a free lunch), disliked Corbyn hugely, and likely most importantly felt cheated by (the perception that) Labour blocking Brexit, and ant-semitism played a part too (I know that gets dismissed as media smears on here, but the lived experience of the likes of Berger, Ellman, Hodge, and Smeeth really can't be ignored). All of this played a part in getting people who would never normally dream of voting Tory ticking the box (and a lot did, notwithstanding Brexit party polling high in some seats); this isn't just my view, but what the likes of Yvette Cooper, John Mann, Ruth Smeeth and others said. I do know from a lobbyist that the Tory manifesto was deliberately simple/sh*t, making sure that only one message was remembered, and that McDonnell/Corbyn/clique went large on the manifesto against policy advisor advice and without involving people like Ashworth (not in the inner circle).

battle being played out tween moderate Labour and Corbynite factions on TV; moderates blaming Corbyn and manifesto (and how hard it was to message),Corbynites solely blaming Brexit.

Gina Miller was very articulate about tactical voting too- it was talked about a lot, but a lot of potential libdem voters switched in the booth as they didn't want to enable a Corbhyn govt. These would likely be Tory remainers I suppose; similarly Libdem voters not giving Labour a leg up.

I agree its been poxy, dispiriting campaign; perhaps the second most dispiriting part was how poor the opposition other than the SNP have performed, when it should have been an open goal (the first being the tawdry elements of the Tory campaign)

(also- turnout)
You're really telling me that people in the midlands and north, in Brexit voting heartlands, cared 1 iota about anti-semitism?

And I still fail to see how any other Labour leader could have faired any better unless they campaigned on Leave, and then this election wouldn't have happened!

If you asked those people why they voted how they voted, you will get Brexit, Corbyn is a terrorist sympathiser (which is a media thing, not a reality), Labour will cost us £2,400 more a year (another lie, and nothing to do with Corbyn again), and so on.

None of which is the fault of Corbyn.

Yes, he's not been a very good leader all in all, but you cannot pin this election on him. Only a leave Labour leader could have won, and then there would have been no election in the first place!

And, also, I didn't say it was unfairly maligned, I said when someone FEELS it's unfairly maligned.
Banquo
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Re: Snap General Election called

Post by Banquo »

Stom wrote:
Banquo wrote:
Stom wrote:
People do double down when they feel things are unfairly maligned.

The Labour manifesto is not terrible. It has holes, but it's not as bad as the Tory manifesto.

Let's not pretend any number of people read either document. They didn't.
we'll have to disagree, I don't think it is unfairly maligned. Its a very long wish list, and the 'red wall' smelt a rat (you are likely right to say it wasn't read, but they heard all the headlines, and know there is no such thing as a free lunch), disliked Corbyn hugely, and likely most importantly felt cheated by (the perception that) Labour blocking Brexit, and ant-semitism played a part too (I know that gets dismissed as media smears on here, but the lived experience of the likes of Berger, Ellman, Hodge, and Smeeth really can't be ignored). All of this played a part in getting people who would never normally dream of voting Tory ticking the box (and a lot did, notwithstanding Brexit party polling high in some seats); this isn't just my view, but what the likes of Yvette Cooper, John Mann, Ruth Smeeth and others said. I do know from a lobbyist that the Tory manifesto was deliberately simple/sh*t, making sure that only one message was remembered, and that McDonnell/Corbyn/clique went large on the manifesto against policy advisor advice and without involving people like Ashworth (not in the inner circle).

battle being played out tween moderate Labour and Corbynite factions on TV; moderates blaming Corbyn and manifesto (and how hard it was to message),Corbynites solely blaming Brexit.

Gina Miller was very articulate about tactical voting too- it was talked about a lot, but a lot of potential libdem voters switched in the booth as they didn't want to enable a Corbhyn govt. These would likely be Tory remainers I suppose; similarly Libdem voters not giving Labour a leg up.

I agree its been poxy, dispiriting campaign; perhaps the second most dispiriting part was how poor the opposition other than the SNP have performed, when it should have been an open goal (the first being the tawdry elements of the Tory campaign)

(also- turnout)
You're really telling me that people in the midlands and north, in Brexit voting heartlands, cared 1 iota about anti-semitism?

And I still fail to see how any other Labour leader could have faired any better unless they campaigned on Leave, and then this election wouldn't have happened!

If you asked those people why they voted how they voted, you will get Brexit, Corbyn is a terrorist sympathiser (which is a media thing, not a reality), Labour will cost us £2,400 more a year (another lie, and nothing to do with Corbyn again), and so on.

None of which is the fault of Corbyn.

Yes, he's not been a very good leader all in all, but you cannot pin this election on him. Only a leave Labour leader could have won, and then there would have been no election in the first place!

And, also, I didn't say it was unfairly maligned, I said when someone FEELS it's unfairly maligned.
Cripes, you don't think much of Labour heartland voters do you. I'll tell you I spend years up north, being born to poor working class on one side and lower middle class on the other northern (Lancs and `yorks) families, and I can tell you they were very sensitive to anti-semitism as a legacy of the war. I'd be pretty ashamed if it didn't bother a lot of folks in the country, and in any case I 'only' said it played a part in Labour voters going tory. Probably outside the red wall too.

You can happily ignore all the feedback about the doorstep animosity to Corbyn- but its pretty overwhelming from Labour MPs, ex Labour MPs and even the Guardian. A clear position from him on Brexit might have helped- there was a spat apparently between him and McDonnell.

You also ignored what I said; I didn't pin it on him exclusively, in fact said Brexit was likely the most important factor. I specifically said it was a number of issues- and even the Grauniad agrees, apart from skipping over anti-semitism specifically.

Fair enough on the manifesto- again criticised by the grauniad- but the way you framed it looked like you felt it was unfair criticism and you did defend it-ish; I wouldn't have replied otherwise.
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Stom
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Re: Snap General Election called

Post by Stom »

Banquo wrote:
Stom wrote:
Banquo wrote: we'll have to disagree, I don't think it is unfairly maligned. Its a very long wish list, and the 'red wall' smelt a rat (you are likely right to say it wasn't read, but they heard all the headlines, and know there is no such thing as a free lunch), disliked Corbyn hugely, and likely most importantly felt cheated by (the perception that) Labour blocking Brexit, and ant-semitism played a part too (I know that gets dismissed as media smears on here, but the lived experience of the likes of Berger, Ellman, Hodge, and Smeeth really can't be ignored). All of this played a part in getting people who would never normally dream of voting Tory ticking the box (and a lot did, notwithstanding Brexit party polling high in some seats); this isn't just my view, but what the likes of Yvette Cooper, John Mann, Ruth Smeeth and others said. I do know from a lobbyist that the Tory manifesto was deliberately simple/sh*t, making sure that only one message was remembered, and that McDonnell/Corbyn/clique went large on the manifesto against policy advisor advice and without involving people like Ashworth (not in the inner circle).

battle being played out tween moderate Labour and Corbynite factions on TV; moderates blaming Corbyn and manifesto (and how hard it was to message),Corbynites solely blaming Brexit.

Gina Miller was very articulate about tactical voting too- it was talked about a lot, but a lot of potential libdem voters switched in the booth as they didn't want to enable a Corbhyn govt. These would likely be Tory remainers I suppose; similarly Libdem voters not giving Labour a leg up.

I agree its been poxy, dispiriting campaign; perhaps the second most dispiriting part was how poor the opposition other than the SNP have performed, when it should have been an open goal (the first being the tawdry elements of the Tory campaign)

(also- turnout)
You're really telling me that people in the midlands and north, in Brexit voting heartlands, cared 1 iota about anti-semitism?

And I still fail to see how any other Labour leader could have faired any better unless they campaigned on Leave, and then this election wouldn't have happened!

If you asked those people why they voted how they voted, you will get Brexit, Corbyn is a terrorist sympathiser (which is a media thing, not a reality), Labour will cost us £2,400 more a year (another lie, and nothing to do with Corbyn again), and so on.

None of which is the fault of Corbyn.

Yes, he's not been a very good leader all in all, but you cannot pin this election on him. Only a leave Labour leader could have won, and then there would have been no election in the first place!

And, also, I didn't say it was unfairly maligned, I said when someone FEELS it's unfairly maligned.
Cripes, you don't think much of Labour heartland voters do you. I'll tell you I spend years up north, being born to poor working class on one side and lower middle class on the other northern (Lancs and `yorks) families, and I can tell you they were very sensitive to anti-semitism as a legacy of the war. I'd be pretty ashamed if it didn't bother a lot of folks in the country, and in any case I 'only' said it played a part in Labour voters going tory. Probably outside the red wall too.

You can happily ignore all the feedback about the doorstep animosity to Corbyn- but its pretty overwhelming from Labour MPs, ex Labour MPs and even the Guardian. A clear position from him on Brexit might have helped- there was a spat apparently between him and McDonnell.

You also ignored what I said; I didn't pin it on him exclusively, in fact said Brexit was likely the most important factor. I specifically said it was a number of issues- and even the Grauniad agrees, apart from skipping over anti-semitism specifically.

Fair enough on the manifesto- again criticised by the grauniad- but the way you framed it looked like you felt it was unfair criticism and you did defend it-ish; I wouldn't have replied otherwise.
On the manifesto, it's the closest to what I would do.

But I wasn't trying to defend it, I was trying to explain the reaction of people who felt attacked.
Banquo
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Re: Snap General Election called

Post by Banquo »

Stom wrote:
Banquo wrote:
Stom wrote:
You're really telling me that people in the midlands and north, in Brexit voting heartlands, cared 1 iota about anti-semitism?

And I still fail to see how any other Labour leader could have faired any better unless they campaigned on Leave, and then this election wouldn't have happened!

If you asked those people why they voted how they voted, you will get Brexit, Corbyn is a terrorist sympathiser (which is a media thing, not a reality), Labour will cost us £2,400 more a year (another lie, and nothing to do with Corbyn again), and so on.

None of which is the fault of Corbyn.

Yes, he's not been a very good leader all in all, but you cannot pin this election on him. Only a leave Labour leader could have won, and then there would have been no election in the first place!

And, also, I didn't say it was unfairly maligned, I said when someone FEELS it's unfairly maligned.
Cripes, you don't think much of Labour heartland voters do you. I'll tell you I spend years up north, being born to poor working class on one side and lower middle class on the other northern (Lancs and `yorks) families, and I can tell you they were very sensitive to anti-semitism as a legacy of the war. I'd be pretty ashamed if it didn't bother a lot of folks in the country, and in any case I 'only' said it played a part in Labour voters going tory. Probably outside the red wall too.

You can happily ignore all the feedback about the doorstep animosity to Corbyn- but its pretty overwhelming from Labour MPs, ex Labour MPs and even the Guardian. A clear position from him on Brexit might have helped- there was a spat apparently between him and McDonnell.

You also ignored what I said; I didn't pin it on him exclusively, in fact said Brexit was likely the most important factor. I specifically said it was a number of issues- and even the Grauniad agrees, apart from skipping over anti-semitism specifically.

Fair enough on the manifesto- again criticised by the grauniad- but the way you framed it looked like you felt it was unfair criticism and you did defend it-ish; I wouldn't have replied otherwise.
On the manifesto, it's the closest to what I would do.

But I wasn't trying to defend it, I was trying to explain the reaction of people who felt attacked.
fair dinkum. I like some/ a lot of the ideas in the manifesto. It was just far too much, too quickly, and in some cases unnecessarily, to be really credible- you mentioned British Broadband, which was a- mad, and b- doubled in annual costs between announcement and grey book- and then crdibility further knocked by successive announcements. As I said, a more grounded, less ideological approach would have grabbed more moderate remainers; I will grant that they had painted themselves in a corner on Brexit, and the messaging was not easily delivered on the doorstep. IMO the potential alliance missed two golden opportunities for an utterly different outcome- to some extent, this result was self inflicted. I really really hope Labour find a way of being really effective and come up with ways to package their offers and vision- sh*t ton of good ideas.
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Stom
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Re: Snap General Election called

Post by Stom »

Banquo wrote:
Stom wrote:
Banquo wrote: Cripes, you don't think much of Labour heartland voters do you. I'll tell you I spend years up north, being born to poor working class on one side and lower middle class on the other northern (Lancs and `yorks) families, and I can tell you they were very sensitive to anti-semitism as a legacy of the war. I'd be pretty ashamed if it didn't bother a lot of folks in the country, and in any case I 'only' said it played a part in Labour voters going tory. Probably outside the red wall too.

You can happily ignore all the feedback about the doorstep animosity to Corbyn- but its pretty overwhelming from Labour MPs, ex Labour MPs and even the Guardian. A clear position from him on Brexit might have helped- there was a spat apparently between him and McDonnell.

You also ignored what I said; I didn't pin it on him exclusively, in fact said Brexit was likely the most important factor. I specifically said it was a number of issues- and even the Grauniad agrees, apart from skipping over anti-semitism specifically.

Fair enough on the manifesto- again criticised by the grauniad- but the way you framed it looked like you felt it was unfair criticism and you did defend it-ish; I wouldn't have replied otherwise.
On the manifesto, it's the closest to what I would do.

But I wasn't trying to defend it, I was trying to explain the reaction of people who felt attacked.
fair dinkum. I like some/ a lot of the ideas in the manifesto. It was just far too much, too quickly, and in some cases unnecessarily, to be really credible- you mentioned British Broadband, which was a- mad, and b- doubled in annual costs between announcement and grey book- and then crdibility further knocked by successive announcements. As I said, a more grounded, less ideological approach would have grabbed more moderate remainers; I will grant that they had painted themselves in a corner on Brexit, and the messaging was not easily delivered on the doorstep. IMO the potential alliance missed two golden opportunities for an utterly different outcome- to some extent, this result was self inflicted. I really really hope Labour find a way of being really effective and come up with ways to package their offers and vision- sh*t ton of good ideas.
Did they?

The election was lost in the leave constituencies. Are you saying they would have voted differently?

This election was effectively lost the moment Nick Clegg got into bed with the Tories to give them power.
Banquo
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Re: Snap General Election called

Post by Banquo »

Stom wrote:
Banquo wrote:
Stom wrote:
On the manifesto, it's the closest to what I would do.

But I wasn't trying to defend it, I was trying to explain the reaction of people who felt attacked.
fair dinkum. I like some/ a lot of the ideas in the manifesto. It was just far too much, too quickly, and in some cases unnecessarily, to be really credible- you mentioned British Broadband, which was a- mad, and b- doubled in annual costs between announcement and grey book- and then crdibility further knocked by successive announcements. As I said, a more grounded, less ideological approach would have grabbed more moderate remainers; I will grant that they had painted themselves in a corner on Brexit, and the messaging was not easily delivered on the doorstep. IMO the potential alliance missed two golden opportunities for an utterly different outcome- to some extent, this result was self inflicted. I really really hope Labour find a way of being really effective and come up with ways to package their offers and vision- sh*t ton of good ideas.
Did they?

The election was lost in the leave constituencies. Are you saying they would have voted differently?

This election was effectively lost the moment Nick Clegg got into bed with the Tories to give them power.
One was missed during parliament when they could have got a second referendum through if Labour had co-operated; they also could have made genuine headway in more Tory remain seats and other marginals by actually being serious on tactical voting. The other thing they colectively shouldn't have done was agree to an election. Boris has played a blinder (been a bit sick in my mouth there), but been helped along the way.
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Re: Snap General Election called

Post by Which Tyler »

Banquo wrote:One was missed during parliament when they could have got a second referendum through if Labour had co-operated; they also could have made genuine headway in more Tory remain seats and other marginals by actually being serious on tactical voting. The other thing they colectively shouldn't have done was agree to an election. Boris has played a blinder (been a bit sick in my mouth there), but been helped along the way.
Yes, they really, really should have been able to compromise during the last parliament and form a GNU, even if only to force a 2nd referendum.

Tactical voting - I saw somewhere that it would have made a difference in 18 seats - so not enough (though had they formed a pact, then it may have been more, as they were often attacking each other, so it wouldn't be a simply vote swap)

I personally agree that they shouldn't have agreed to this election, but... Cockwomble was pretty good at blaming the deadlocked government on the opposition for doing their jobs; and it's easily possible they would have lost even more support had they delayed the election even longer without actually taking power to themselves in a GNU.

I'd add that there was also a fair bit of naivete about how effective Cockwombles lie-and-hide routine was actually going to be (and how ineffective the labour "but the NHS" battlecray ended up being)
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Sandydragon
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Re: Snap General Election called

Post by Sandydragon »

ad_tigger wrote:Whole thing leaves me thinking that the only sensible thing to do now as a vaguely left leaning individual of any colour is to join the labour party so at least you get a vote on the next party leader.

There's a hell of a lot more moderates who want Labour closer to the centre than denialist JC fanboys who think that Rebecca Long-Bailey is the obvious next step.
Hopefully some of the momentum fanatics will become disillusioned and bugger off back to their old haunts and labour can tack back to left centre. This must be a wake up call for the future of their party, their socialist agenda has been annihilated. Whilst they will never accept that, those with functioning reasoning skills will hopefully begin the long road back and at least provide effective opposition.
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Re: Snap General Election called

Post by Sandydragon »

Stom wrote:
Banquo wrote:
Stom wrote:
People do double down when they feel things are unfairly maligned.

The Labour manifesto is not terrible. It has holes, but it's not as bad as the Tory manifesto.

Let's not pretend any number of people read either document. They didn't.
we'll have to disagree, I don't think it is unfairly maligned. Its a very long wish list, and the 'red wall' smelt a rat (you are likely right to say it wasn't read, but they heard all the headlines, and know there is no such thing as a free lunch), disliked Corbyn hugely, and likely most importantly felt cheated by (the perception that) Labour blocking Brexit, and ant-semitism played a part too (I know that gets dismissed as media smears on here, but the lived experience of the likes of Berger, Ellman, Hodge, and Smeeth really can't be ignored). All of this played a part in getting people who would never normally dream of voting Tory ticking the box (and a lot did, notwithstanding Brexit party polling high in some seats); this isn't just my view, but what the likes of Yvette Cooper, John Mann, Ruth Smeeth and others said. I do know from a lobbyist that the Tory manifesto was deliberately simple/sh*t, making sure that only one message was remembered, and that McDonnell/Corbyn/clique went large on the manifesto against policy advisor advice and without involving people like Ashworth (not in the inner circle).

battle being played out tween moderate Labour and Corbynite factions on TV; moderates blaming Corbyn and manifesto (and how hard it was to message),Corbynites solely blaming Brexit.

Gina Miller was very articulate about tactical voting too- it was talked about a lot, but a lot of potential libdem voters switched in the booth as they didn't want to enable a Corbhyn govt. These would likely be Tory remainers I suppose; similarly Libdem voters not giving Labour a leg up.

I agree its been poxy, dispiriting campaign; perhaps the second most dispiriting part was how poor the opposition other than the SNP have performed, when it should have been an open goal (the first being the tawdry elements of the Tory campaign)

(also- turnout)
You're really telling me that people in the midlands and north, in Brexit voting heartlands, cared 1 iota about anti-semitism?

And I still fail to see how any other Labour leader could have faired any better unless they campaigned on Leave, and then this election wouldn't have happened!

If you asked those people why they voted how they voted, you will get Brexit, Corbyn is a terrorist sympathiser (which is a media thing, not a reality), Labour will cost us £2,400 more a year (another lie, and nothing to do with Corbyn again), and so on.

None of which is the fault of Corbyn.

Yes, he's not been a very good leader all in all, but you cannot pin this election on him. Only a leave Labour leader could have won, and then there would have been no election in the first place!

And, also, I didn't say it was unfairly maligned, I said when someone FEELS it's unfairly maligned.
Read the polling. Corbyn was and is seen as a joke. Many traditional Tory supporters would have voted for a Blair type labour leader, but could not bring themselves to vote for Corbyn and his bunch of nutters. It’s staring you in the face, corbyn is unelectable.
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Re: Snap General Election called

Post by Sandydragon »

Stom wrote:
Banquo wrote:
Stom wrote:
On the manifesto, it's the closest to what I would do.

But I wasn't trying to defend it, I was trying to explain the reaction of people who felt attacked.
fair dinkum. I like some/ a lot of the ideas in the manifesto. It was just far too much, too quickly, and in some cases unnecessarily, to be really credible- you mentioned British Broadband, which was a- mad, and b- doubled in annual costs between announcement and grey book- and then crdibility further knocked by successive announcements. As I said, a more grounded, less ideological approach would have grabbed more moderate remainers; I will grant that they had painted themselves in a corner on Brexit, and the messaging was not easily delivered on the doorstep. IMO the potential alliance missed two golden opportunities for an utterly different outcome- to some extent, this result was self inflicted. I really really hope Labour find a way of being really effective and come up with ways to package their offers and vision- sh*t ton of good ideas.
Did they?

The election was lost in the leave constituencies. Are you saying they would have voted differently?

This election was effectively lost the moment Nick Clegg got into bed with the Tories to give them power.
Err no. This election was lost when Labour decided to tack very hard to the left following the 2010 defeat. Ed Milliband started it, Corbyn has finished it, a defeat disguised by the utter poor performance of May.
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