Looking towards Samoa and QFs

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Banquo
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Re: Looking towards Samoa and QFs

Post by Banquo »

Puja wrote: Tue Oct 03, 2023 4:01 pm
Mikey Brown wrote: Tue Oct 03, 2023 3:14 pm
p/d wrote: Tue Oct 03, 2023 2:47 pm If Botia walks out of the tunnel I pass a small bit of wee
I stopped myself responding to the above post about Muntz because I got hit with a real sense of deja vu, but weren’t Fiji without both Botia and Tuisova when we played them before? Or they were just returning from injury perhaps.

I’d have thought that more than makes up for it, especially as they seem to have found another half decent goal kicker.
We were without a few players as well - probably 5 of the starting XV from that game will be unlikely to make a quarter final lineup, some of them not even making the bench. More pertinently, we were probably playing with an air of complacency about it "only being Fiji", no matter how much lip service was paid in the pre-game press. Fiji might not have the same fear now that they've beaten us, but I doubt we'll have the same complacency. It's a game that we should, as fans, be expecting to win.

Puja
It'll be tough- they turned over oz and should have beaten a much improved wales. Behind the sofa time if we don't start well.
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Re: Looking towards Samoa and QFs

Post by 16th man »

Banquo wrote: Tue Oct 03, 2023 4:08 pm
Puja wrote: Tue Oct 03, 2023 4:01 pm
Mikey Brown wrote: Tue Oct 03, 2023 3:14 pm

I stopped myself responding to the above post about Muntz because I got hit with a real sense of deja vu, but weren’t Fiji without both Botia and Tuisova when we played them before? Or they were just returning from injury perhaps.

I’d have thought that more than makes up for it, especially as they seem to have found another half decent goal kicker.
We were without a few players as well - probably 5 of the starting XV from that game will be unlikely to make a quarter final lineup, some of them not even making the bench. More pertinently, we were probably playing with an air of complacency about it "only being Fiji", no matter how much lip service was paid in the pre-game press. Fiji might not have the same fear now that they've beaten us, but I doubt we'll have the same complacency. It's a game that we should, as fans, be expecting to win.

Puja
It'll be tough- they turned over oz and should have beaten a much improved wales. Behind the sofa time if we don't start well.
They definitely looked a bit jaded against Georgia though. Playing at the speed and intensity they do, and have had to do so far, may well be taking it out of them. There's no way they don't get at least a losing BP, so we're definitely going to be playing them. How much they have left in the tank could be interesting to see.
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Mellsblue
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Re: Looking towards Samoa and QFs

Post by Mellsblue »

I wonder how much their performance was affected by this:

https://www.fijivillage.com/news/Tuisov ... Ba-x8r45f/
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Re: Looking towards Samoa and QFs

Post by Scrumhead »

Banquo wrote: Tue Oct 03, 2023 4:08 pm
Puja wrote: Tue Oct 03, 2023 4:01 pm
Mikey Brown wrote: Tue Oct 03, 2023 3:14 pm

I stopped myself responding to the above post about Muntz because I got hit with a real sense of deja vu, but weren’t Fiji without both Botia and Tuisova when we played them before? Or they were just returning from injury perhaps.

I’d have thought that more than makes up for it, especially as they seem to have found another half decent goal kicker.
We were without a few players as well - probably 5 of the starting XV from that game will be unlikely to make a quarter final lineup, some of them not even making the bench. More pertinently, we were probably playing with an air of complacency about it "only being Fiji", no matter how much lip service was paid in the pre-game press. Fiji might not have the same fear now that they've beaten us, but I doubt we'll have the same complacency. It's a game that we should, as fans, be expecting to win.

Puja
It'll be tough- they turned over oz and should have beaten a much improved wales. Behind the sofa time if we don't start well.
I don’t doubt it will be tough.

I just wouldn’t put too much emphasis on our last meeting. It’s fair to say we were at a very low ebb and while I’d be very reluctant to say we’ve turned a corner, I do think we’re in a very different place from a confidence/mentality POV.

A good performance and solid win vs. Samoa would see us going in to the game with the momentum we’ll probably need to see us through. That’s not a formality though. As poor as Samoa have been, they’ll still want to make a statement so we can’t take a win for granted.
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Oakboy
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Re: Looking towards Samoa and QFs

Post by Oakboy »

We'd all have taken this position if we were offered it before the warm-ups - a QF v Fiji. It gives us a SF spot if we play up to or close to our best. That is not arrogance, just a factual statement.

Then, though, the doubts and dislikes hover. Somebody suggested to me recently that if Farrell is at 12 and Vunipola at 8 he won't watch and hopes we lose. I certainly would not go that far but I have some sympathy with the view. On the one hand a win is a win and that is all that matters. On the other hand, please at least edge towards giving us something worth watching.

I now just hope that SB knows his best XV and plays it, starting with this last group game. He needs to be ruthless in selection and justify it with results.
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Mellsblue
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Re: Looking towards Samoa and QFs

Post by Mellsblue »

Oakboy wrote: Wed Oct 04, 2023 8:28 am It gives us a SF spot if we play up to or close to our best. That is not arrogance, just a factual statement.
Not sure about this. I’d argue Fiji are the better team player vs player - certainly 11 through 15 and the backrow - and a core play club rugby together.
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Re: Looking towards Samoa and QFs

Post by Mikey Brown »

But we’re English…
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Puja
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Re: Looking towards Samoa and QFs

Post by Puja »

Mellsblue wrote: Wed Oct 04, 2023 8:58 am
Oakboy wrote: Wed Oct 04, 2023 8:28 am It gives us a SF spot if we play up to or close to our best. That is not arrogance, just a factual statement.
Not sure about this. I’d argue Fiji are the better team player vs player - certainly 11 through 15 and the backrow, imo - and a core play club rugby together.
I don't know that I agree with the player vs player argument - the more exciting players, sure, and certainly the players I'd want to have in a position where a 14 point deficit needed making up, but they have significant limitations elsewhere (for some - obviously Radradra, Tuisova, Botia are clearly superior). As for their cohesion, they have shown some rank average play amidst the brilliance - awful passes, both in decision and execution, losing the ball in contact, a non-existent lineout at times, sudden spates of clog-hands.

That's not saying that this is a formality or anything, just that I would expect this England to be winning that quarter final and regard it as a massive failure if they didn't.

Puja
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Mellsblue
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Re: Looking towards Samoa and QFs

Post by Mellsblue »

Puja wrote: Wed Oct 04, 2023 9:09 am
Mellsblue wrote: Wed Oct 04, 2023 8:58 am
Oakboy wrote: Wed Oct 04, 2023 8:28 am It gives us a SF spot if we play up to or close to our best. That is not arrogance, just a factual statement.
Not sure about this. I’d argue Fiji are the better team player vs player - certainly 11 through 15 and the backrow, imo - and a core play club rugby together.
I don't know that I agree with the player vs player argument - the more exciting players, sure, and certainly the players I'd want to have in a position where a 14 point deficit needed making up, but they have significant limitations elsewhere (for some - obviously Radradra, Tuisova, Botia are clearly superior). As for their cohesion, they have shown some rank average play amidst the brilliance - awful passes, both in decision and execution, losing the ball in contact, a non-existent lineout at times, sudden spates of clog-hands.

That's not saying that this is a formality or anything, just that I would expect this England to be winning that quarter final and regard it as a massive failure if they didn't.

Puja
Getting confused. You started off talking about Fiji but then switched to England: ‘rank average play’, ‘awful passes’, ‘sudden spates of clog-hands’ etc. I obvs jest but you get my point.
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Re: Looking towards Samoa and QFs

Post by Puja »

Mellsblue wrote: Wed Oct 04, 2023 9:13 am
Puja wrote: Wed Oct 04, 2023 9:09 am
Mellsblue wrote: Wed Oct 04, 2023 8:58 am

Not sure about this. I’d argue Fiji are the better team player vs player - certainly 11 through 15 and the backrow, imo - and a core play club rugby together.
I don't know that I agree with the player vs player argument - the more exciting players, sure, and certainly the players I'd want to have in a position where a 14 point deficit needed making up, but they have significant limitations elsewhere (for some - obviously Radradra, Tuisova, Botia are clearly superior). As for their cohesion, they have shown some rank average play amidst the brilliance - awful passes, both in decision and execution, losing the ball in contact, a non-existent lineout at times, sudden spates of clog-hands.

That's not saying that this is a formality or anything, just that I would expect this England to be winning that quarter final and regard it as a massive failure if they didn't.

Puja
Getting confused. You started off talking about Fiji but then switched to England: ‘rank average play’, ‘awful passes’, ‘sudden spates of clog-hands’ etc. I obvs jest but you get my point.
I did think as I was typing that I was leaving myself wide open to the obvious quip! I would say the difference is that we haven't structured our approach around our attacking play. Fucking up an overlap with a stupid skip pass doesn't make as much of a difference for us as we've got the tight five and fly-half to allow us to play a limited, set-piece-focussed game. Whereas Fiji's strengths are in their 11-15, as you mentioned, so when they don't fire, you get things like the Georgia game, or the middle 50 minutes of the Wales game.

Puja
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Re: Looking towards Samoa and QFs

Post by Mellsblue »

Puja wrote: Wed Oct 04, 2023 9:26 am
Mellsblue wrote: Wed Oct 04, 2023 9:13 am
Puja wrote: Wed Oct 04, 2023 9:09 am

I don't know that I agree with the player vs player argument - the more exciting players, sure, and certainly the players I'd want to have in a position where a 14 point deficit needed making up, but they have significant limitations elsewhere (for some - obviously Radradra, Tuisova, Botia are clearly superior). As for their cohesion, they have shown some rank average play amidst the brilliance - awful passes, both in decision and execution, losing the ball in contact, a non-existent lineout at times, sudden spates of clog-hands.

That's not saying that this is a formality or anything, just that I would expect this England to be winning that quarter final and regard it as a massive failure if they didn't.

Puja
Getting confused. You started off talking about Fiji but then switched to England: ‘rank average play’, ‘awful passes’, ‘sudden spates of clog-hands’ etc. I obvs jest but you get my point.
I did think as I was typing that I was leaving myself wide open to the obvious quip! I would say the difference is that we haven't structured our approach around our attacking play. Fucking up an overlap with a stupid skip pass doesn't make as much of a difference for us as we've got the tight five and fly-half to allow us to play a limited, set-piece-focussed game. Whereas Fiji's strengths are in their 11-15, as you mentioned, so when they don't fire, you get things like the Georgia game, or the middle 50 minutes of the Wales game.

Puja
So it’s ‘fact’ that if we ‘play up to or close to our best’ (and so do Fiji) that we win?
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Re: Looking towards Samoa and QFs

Post by Puja »

Mellsblue wrote: Wed Oct 04, 2023 9:32 am
Puja wrote: Wed Oct 04, 2023 9:26 am
Mellsblue wrote: Wed Oct 04, 2023 9:13 am

Getting confused. You started off talking about Fiji but then switched to England: ‘rank average play’, ‘awful passes’, ‘sudden spates of clog-hands’ etc. I obvs jest but you get my point.
I did think as I was typing that I was leaving myself wide open to the obvious quip! I would say the difference is that we haven't structured our approach around our attacking play. Fucking up an overlap with a stupid skip pass doesn't make as much of a difference for us as we've got the tight five and fly-half to allow us to play a limited, set-piece-focussed game. Whereas Fiji's strengths are in their 11-15, as you mentioned, so when they don't fire, you get things like the Georgia game, or the middle 50 minutes of the Wales game.

Puja
So it’s ‘fact’ that if we ‘play up to or close to our best’ (and so do Fiji) that we win?
I'm not taking accountability for Oakboy's turns of phrase. My personal position is that forwards win matches and I will be disappointed if we do not win. I'd regard this England vs this Fiji as a 7 or 8 wins out of every 10 games situation - we're more than capable of losing it, or of them producing a top performance and beating us, but I'm confident that we have enough in the bag to get the victory.

Puja
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Re: Looking towards Samoa and QFs

Post by Mellsblue »

Puja wrote: Wed Oct 04, 2023 9:55 am
Mellsblue wrote: Wed Oct 04, 2023 9:32 am
Puja wrote: Wed Oct 04, 2023 9:26 am

I did think as I was typing that I was leaving myself wide open to the obvious quip! I would say the difference is that we haven't structured our approach around our attacking play. Fucking up an overlap with a stupid skip pass doesn't make as much of a difference for us as we've got the tight five and fly-half to allow us to play a limited, set-piece-focussed game. Whereas Fiji's strengths are in their 11-15, as you mentioned, so when they don't fire, you get things like the Georgia game, or the middle 50 minutes of the Wales game.

Puja
So it’s ‘fact’ that if we ‘play up to or close to our best’ (and so do Fiji) that we win?
I'm not taking accountability for Oakboy's turns of phrase. My personal position is that forwards win matches and I will be disappointed if we do not win. I'd regard this England vs this Fiji as a 7 or 8 wins out of every 10 games situation - we're more than capable of losing it, or of them producing a top performance and beating us, but I'm confident that we have enough in the bag to get the victory.

Puja
I’d agree with you - thought you were backing Dors’ original position. Part of me does want Fiji’s style of play to beat our ‘style’ of play, though.
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Re: Looking towards Samoa and QFs

Post by fivepointer »

I'm not sure i know what our best is.

If we can produce will it be enough to beat Fiji? Probably, though it would be nice next time out to go up a gear or two ahead of that game.
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Re: Looking towards Samoa and QFs

Post by Oakboy »

Mellsblue wrote: Wed Oct 04, 2023 9:32 am
Puja wrote: Wed Oct 04, 2023 9:26 am
Mellsblue wrote: Wed Oct 04, 2023 9:13 am

Getting confused. You started off talking about Fiji but then switched to England: ‘rank average play’, ‘awful passes’, ‘sudden spates of clog-hands’ etc. I obvs jest but you get my point.
I did think as I was typing that I was leaving myself wide open to the obvious quip! I would say the difference is that we haven't structured our approach around our attacking play. Fucking up an overlap with a stupid skip pass doesn't make as much of a difference for us as we've got the tight five and fly-half to allow us to play a limited, set-piece-focussed game. Whereas Fiji's strengths are in their 11-15, as you mentioned, so when they don't fire, you get things like the Georgia game, or the middle 50 minutes of the Wales game.

Puja
So it’s ‘fact’ that if we ‘play up to or close to our best’ (and so do Fiji) that we win?
I think we can reasonably take the warm-up match when Fiji beat us as a starting point (ahead of world rankings and other stats). IMO, on the day, Fiji were fairly close to their best whereas we were a considerable margin below ours. Allowing for good selection and preparation by both sides, a competitive meeting such as looks like happening in the QF allows them a 'puncher's' chance of beating us. We ought to be able to successfully stifle that 8 times out of 10 if our coaching crew does its job.

As you imply in a later post it probably won't be pretty.
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Re: Looking towards Samoa and QFs

Post by p/d »

What is our best? It doesn’t exist.

We are at the stage of concentrating on nullifying the opposition not on how we can score tries.

We will want to dominate the set piece, win the aerial battle and keep improving on our defence.

I believe this is is still moving in the right direction. The downside of course will be those few decisions they make on selection that will piss a few of us off.
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Re: Looking towards Samoa and QFs

Post by Mikey Brown »

Yep. Often when a team loses it’s “they played to their max and we didn’t”. It seems especially true with England fans which is probably why everyone hates us so much.

We should improve, but there’s no reason Fiji mightn’t turn up a considerably better side too. Their poor performance against Georgia is seemingly viewed as dropping back down to ‘their level’ whereas when we do it it’s grinding out a win while playing badly.
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Re: Looking towards Samoa and QFs

Post by Mellsblue »

Willis ruled out of the rest of the tournament due to injury.
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Re: Looking towards Samoa and QFs

Post by Banquo »

Mellsblue wrote: Thu Oct 05, 2023 5:12 pm Willis ruled out of the rest of the tournament due to injury.
No luck that boy
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Oakboy
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Re: Looking towards Samoa and QFs

Post by Oakboy »

Banquo wrote: Thu Oct 05, 2023 5:13 pm
Mellsblue wrote: Thu Oct 05, 2023 5:12 pm Willis ruled out of the rest of the tournament due to injury.
No luck that boy
Conjecture now over who replaces him. Surely, it must be his brother.
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Mellsblue
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Re: Looking towards Samoa and QFs

Post by Mellsblue »

Oakboy wrote: Thu Oct 05, 2023 7:38 pm
Banquo wrote: Thu Oct 05, 2023 5:13 pm
Mellsblue wrote: Thu Oct 05, 2023 5:12 pm Willis ruled out of the rest of the tournament due to injury.
No luck that boy
Conjecture now over who replaces him. Surely, it must be his brother.
Let’s hope it’s Pearson. No point bringing in another no8.
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Re: Looking towards Samoa and QFs

Post by Beasties »

Mellsblue wrote: Thu Oct 05, 2023 5:12 pm Willis ruled out of the rest of the tournament due to injury.
Oh FFS. Poor lad.
Mikey Brown
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Re: Looking towards Samoa and QFs

Post by Mikey Brown »

Mellsblue wrote: Thu Oct 05, 2023 8:04 pm
Oakboy wrote: Thu Oct 05, 2023 7:38 pm
Banquo wrote: Thu Oct 05, 2023 5:13 pm

No luck that boy
Conjecture now over who replaces him. Surely, it must be his brother.
Let’s hope it’s Pearson. No point bringing in another no8.
Why? We barely seem to have one?
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Mellsblue
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Re: Looking towards Samoa and QFs

Post by Mellsblue »

Mikey Brown wrote: Thu Oct 05, 2023 9:40 pm
Mellsblue wrote: Thu Oct 05, 2023 8:04 pm
Oakboy wrote: Thu Oct 05, 2023 7:38 pm

Conjecture now over who replaces him. Surely, it must be his brother.
Let’s hope it’s Pearson. No point bringing in another no8.
Why? We barely seem to have one?
Earl is clearly first choice - in another example of Slightly Bleedingnose’s original squad not being where he ended up - and has played well, probs my Eng player of the tournament, so far. Billy is obvs nailed on to be in the 23 whilst both Ludlam & Curry can play there.
Mikey Brown
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Re: Looking towards Samoa and QFs

Post by Mikey Brown »

Mellsblue wrote: Thu Oct 05, 2023 9:51 pm
Mikey Brown wrote: Thu Oct 05, 2023 9:40 pm
Mellsblue wrote: Thu Oct 05, 2023 8:04 pm

Let’s hope it’s Pearson. No point bringing in another no8.
Why? We barely seem to have one?
Earl is clearly first choice - in another example of Slightly Bleedingnose’s original squad not being where he ended up - and has played well, probs my Eng player of the tournament, so far. Billy is obvs nailed on to be in the 23 whilst both Ludlam & Curry can play there.
An 8 on the bench makes more sense when we have an openside starting there. Ludlam has actually looked quite good there but not quite sure if Borthwick fancies him? Vunipola has been shite for ages. I'm not really sure how else to put it.

Pearson getting ahead of Curry, Ludlam and Earl to start at 7 just seems less likely or useful to me, plus it would stop Oakboy from stating every half an hour that he'd have picked T Willis. He even plays for Saracens now.
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