Captainhaircut wrote: ↑Sun Jan 26, 2025 10:31 pm
What we learn from a trip to Argentina is that we get battered there taking half our first team and the media subsequently get all over Borthwick for it.
Agreed the odd player may benefit from it but that hardly helps us build a head of steam or takes any pressure of the coaching team. We’ll probably start with South Africa in the autumn just to keep that pressure right on…
I’m not sure what your angle is here? Are you saying we should only play teams we expect to comfortably beat in order to ‘build up a head of steam’ or take ‘pressure off the coaching team’? I mean it’s a nice idea, but given the test calendar is booked a year (or more) in advance, you’d have to line up a list of no-hopers to be sure they wouldn’t have enough of an uptick in form to be dangerously competitive. In any case, a successful team doesn’t avoid competitive matches for fear of being beaten.
As always, context is key here too. There’s the small matter of the 6 Nations first.
If we have a poor tournament, touring Argentina without some key players feels like a daunting prospect. However, a poor 6N probably also equals fewer Lions absentees and gives Borthwick the justification for a hard reset. I suspect two poor losses in that scenario would be the end of Borthwick (fairly IMO).
OTOH, if we have a good 6 Nations and the mood around the squad is good, I wouldn’t rule out us going there and getting 2 wins, even without Lions absentees.
In reality, I think it’ll probably somewhere in between - an acceptable 6N followed by a decent tour with the spoils shared.
I don’t think there is anything to suggest we go there and get ‘battered’. They rarely beat us and while I’d expect hem to be favourites at home and can see them winning both, I doubt there will be much in it.
TLDR:
1. We won’t get battered
2. A lot depends on how we do in the 6N
3. We have no idea how many we’ll be missing to the Lions (it might only be a handful)
4. Even two losses might be acceptable if the likes of Fin Smith, Tom Willis and new centres (my preference would be Atkinson and Beard) do well.