Snap General Election called

Post Reply
WaspInWales
Posts: 4503
Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2016 10:46 pm

Re: Snap General Election called

Post by WaspInWales »

Which Tyler wrote:
Peat wrote:Doing a lot better than expected is certainly a form of victory, no?
Especially if it forces a hung parliament when predictions were a 100-120 seat conservative victory.

It'd be like Wales forcing a draw against the All Blacks
A moral victory then...or 'if it wasn't for the ref' victory?
User avatar
Which Tyler
Posts: 9359
Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2016 8:43 pm
Location: Tewkesbury
Contact:

Re: Snap General Election called

Post by Which Tyler »

WaspInWales wrote:
Which Tyler wrote:
Peat wrote:Doing a lot better than expected is certainly a form of victory, no?
Especially if it forces a hung parliament when predictions were a 100-120 seat conservative victory.

It'd be like Wales forcing a draw against the All Blacks
A moral victory then...or 'if it wasn't for the ref' victory?
Oh, moral victory for shewer.

Oh, and this ETA: https://mobile.twitter.com/LostUKIPdeposit
WaspInWales
Posts: 4503
Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2016 10:46 pm

Re: Snap General Election called

Post by WaspInWales »

Which Tyler wrote:
WaspInWales wrote:
Which Tyler wrote: Especially if it forces a hung parliament when predictions were a 100-120 seat conservative victory.

It'd be like Wales forcing a draw against the All Blacks
A moral victory then...or 'if it wasn't for the ref' victory?
Oh, moral victory for shewer.

Oh, and this ETA: https://mobile.twitter.com/LostUKIPdeposit
That may well be the best use of Twitter...ever.
User avatar
Sandydragon
Posts: 10299
Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2016 7:13 pm

Re: Snap General Election called

Post by Sandydragon »

Stom wrote:
Mellsblue wrote:
Stom wrote:
The exit polls have been quite reliable recently, though...

It will be interesting, then. When I get up around 6 UK time, it'll be very interesting to see exactly where we are with seats declared.
Except for the one prior to this.......

BBC repeatedly saying that this is based on a lot of 50/50 constituency falling the correct way. Still, you can't see it being that far wrong surely.
The exit poll got close last time out...

The normal polls got it all wrong.
Some were reasonably close.

So we will have a Tory DUP coalition of sorts I expect. Brexit negotiations will be interesting as every Tory mp will see an opportunity to make their voice heard. With that range of opinion, i expect may will need some labour support at some point.

Interesting that the Tory vote is actually up on last time (% wise), I can't remember the last time a sitting government managed that and lost seats. Th ecollapse of ukip is having a huge impact.
Digby
Posts: 15261
Joined: Fri Feb 12, 2016 11:17 am

Re: Snap General Election called

Post by Digby »

Peat wrote:Doing a lot better than expected is certainly a form of victory, no?
I'd say no as they should never have had such low expectations. To label them winners would be like calling Neil Kinnock a winner, and nobody does that.

Either of our major parties should be winning a 3rd election to get back into government, so Labour's results today are akin to the Tories under Michael Howard, and again nobody calls him a winner, though people tend to be very happy to call him a loser
User avatar
canta_brian
Posts: 1285
Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2016 9:52 pm

Re: RE: Re: Snap General Election called

Post by canta_brian »

Digby wrote:
Peat wrote:Doing a lot better than expected is certainly a form of victory, no?
I'd say no as they should never have had such low expectations. To label them winners would be like calling Neil Kinnock a winner, and nobody does that.

Either of our major parties should be winning a 3rd election to get back into government, so Labour's results today are akin to the Tories under Michael Howard, and again nobody calls him a winner, though people tend to be very happy to call him a loser
You on drugs?

Tory called snap election on the back of huge poll numbers. Corbyn being written off by pretty much every person in Britain. Result, hung parliament. To suggest that this is not a victory for Labour and Corbyn in particular is just churlish.
jared_7
Posts: 615
Joined: Wed Feb 17, 2016 4:47 pm

Re: RE: Re: Snap General Election called

Post by jared_7 »

canta_brian wrote:
Digby wrote:
Peat wrote:Doing a lot better than expected is certainly a form of victory, no?
I'd say no as they should never have had such low expectations. To label them winners would be like calling Neil Kinnock a winner, and nobody does that.

Either of our major parties should be winning a 3rd election to get back into government, so Labour's results today are akin to the Tories under Michael Howard, and again nobody calls him a winner, though people tend to be very happy to call him a loser
You on drugs?

Tory called snap election on the back of huge poll numbers. Corbyn being written off by pretty much every person in Britain. Result, hung parliament. To suggest that this is not a victory for Labour and Corbyn in particular is just churlish.
It's amazing what Corbin achieved in such a short time, finally getting some unfiltered press. The real losers are the Blairites who jumped ship because he was "unelectable", imagine what could have been achieved if they hadn't been squabbling for the last 2 years?

BBC correspondent saying a handful of Labour MPs who appeared on their coverage had prewritten speeches prepared to rubbish Corbyn and call for his resignation, again. Apparently had to rush to prepare something nice to say
User avatar
Mellsblue
Posts: 16083
Joined: Thu Feb 11, 2016 7:58 am

Re: Snap General Election called

Post by Mellsblue »

Is it amazing? Running on a manifesto that promised the world to all but those nasty people who earn a lot, if you can call £80,000 in the south east a lot, that was economically illiterate and was rubbished by the IFS, and that had only a slim chance of actually being fulfilled. He was also running against a government that presided over seven years of austerity and that ran an utterly woeful campaign. He had Remainers handed to him on a plate in pro-EU seats in which the Lib Dems weren't a viable option and yet he still didn't win or get close to having the numbers to form a coalition.
Last edited by Mellsblue on Fri Jun 09, 2017 8:06 am, edited 1 time in total.
Digby
Posts: 15261
Joined: Fri Feb 12, 2016 11:17 am

Re: RE: Re: Snap General Election called

Post by Digby »

canta_brian wrote:
Digby wrote:
Peat wrote:Doing a lot better than expected is certainly a form of victory, no?
I'd say no as they should never have had such low expectations. To label them winners would be like calling Neil Kinnock a winner, and nobody does that.

Either of our major parties should be winning a 3rd election to get back into government, so Labour's results today are akin to the Tories under Michael Howard, and again nobody calls him a winner, though people tend to be very happy to call him a loser
You on drugs?

Tory called snap election on the back of huge poll numbers. Corbyn being written off by pretty much every person in Britain. Result, hung parliament. To suggest that this is not a victory for Labour and Corbyn in particular is just churlish.
Well I was drinking herb tea last night, but as that was just Twinings Lemon & Ginger I suspect I'd be okay.

And my point is the Labour party should have never been trailing like that, it's absurd to even remotely defend that when they're up against a 3rd term austerity Tory opposition. And even absent of that being odd seats behind isn't a win, it's a loss.

Corbyn has done better than Milliband, but that's not good enough.
jared_7
Posts: 615
Joined: Wed Feb 17, 2016 4:47 pm

Re: RE: Re: Snap General Election called

Post by jared_7 »

Digby wrote:
canta_brian wrote:
Digby wrote:
I'd say no as they should never have had such low expectations. To label them winners would be like calling Neil Kinnock a winner, and nobody does that.

Either of our major parties should be winning a 3rd election to get back into government, so Labour's results today are akin to the Tories under Michael Howard, and again nobody calls him a winner, though people tend to be very happy to call him a loser
You on drugs?

Tory called snap election on the back of huge poll numbers. Corbyn being written off by pretty much every person in Britain. Result, hung parliament. To suggest that this is not a victory for Labour and Corbyn in particular is just churlish.
Well I was drinking herb tea last night, but as that was just Twinings Lemon & Ginger I suspect I'd be okay.

And my point is the Labour party should have never been trailing like that, it's absurd to even remotely defend that when they're up against a 3rd term austerity Tory opposition. And even absent of that being odd seats behind isn't a win, it's a loss.

Corbyn has done better than Milliband, but that's not good enough.
But you refuse to accept the reason why they are so far behind is in-fighting, and place all of the blame for that infighting on the elected leader rather than those under him causing the problems in the first place.

You are completely right this is not where Labour should be, the last 2 years have been an absolute writeoff and basically only started acting like the party should a couple of months ago.
jared_7
Posts: 615
Joined: Wed Feb 17, 2016 4:47 pm

Re: Snap General Election called

Post by jared_7 »

Little turds like Owen Jones have done an unsurprising u-turn, a man who for 2 years was unelectable despite never running an election campaign is all of a sudden "fine prime minister material".
Peat
Posts: 1038
Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2016 7:09 pm

Re: Snap General Election called

Post by Peat »

Twinings Lemon & Ginger is the shiznit. Good choice man.

Yeah, Labour should never have been in this position, but there's only so much blame that can be apportioned to Corbyn here. He had very little to do with landing them in the hole and, while he could have done a better job digging them out prior to this election, he was well up against it. And he did pretty much the best imaginable job here.

It is pretty pathetic that the Labour's busy going "Whoo hoo" when in reality they've still come behind a party that haven't been able to win a clean majority since 1992. Oops, sorry, did it once. Pathetic from both. We live in an age of political pygmies.
Digby
Posts: 15261
Joined: Fri Feb 12, 2016 11:17 am

Re: RE: Re: Snap General Election called

Post by Digby »

jared_7 wrote:
Digby wrote:
canta_brian wrote: You on drugs?

Tory called snap election on the back of huge poll numbers. Corbyn being written off by pretty much every person in Britain. Result, hung parliament. To suggest that this is not a victory for Labour and Corbyn in particular is just churlish.
Well I was drinking herb tea last night, but as that was just Twinings Lemon & Ginger I suspect I'd be okay.

And my point is the Labour party should have never been trailing like that, it's absurd to even remotely defend that when they're up against a 3rd term austerity Tory opposition. And even absent of that being odd seats behind isn't a win, it's a loss.

Corbyn has done better than Milliband, but that's not good enough.
But you refuse to accept the reason why they are so far behind is in-fighting, and place all of the blame for that infighting on the elected leader rather than those under him causing the problems in the first place.

You are completely right this is not where Labour should be, the last 2 years have been an absolute writeoff and basically only started acting like the party should a couple of months ago.
Maybe the infighting is part of the reason, but every party leader has to contend with that. How you control that or not is part of what you're judged on, it's not an issue one should use to absolve a party leader
User avatar
canta_brian
Posts: 1285
Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2016 9:52 pm

Re: RE: Re: RE: Re: Snap General Election called

Post by canta_brian »

jared_7 wrote:
Digby wrote:
canta_brian wrote: You on drugs?

Tory called snap election on the back of huge poll numbers. Corbyn being written off by pretty much every person in Britain. Result, hung parliament. To suggest that this is not a victory for Labour and Corbyn in particular is just churlish.
Well I was drinking herb tea last night, but as that was just Twinings Lemon & Ginger I suspect I'd be okay.

And my point is the Labour party should have never been trailing like that, it's absurd to even remotely defend that when they're up against a 3rd term austerity Tory opposition. And even absent of that being odd seats behind isn't a win, it's a loss.

Corbyn has done better than Milliband, but that's not good enough.
But you refuse to accept the reason why they are so far behind is in-fighting, and place all of the blame for that infighting on the elected leader rather than those under him causing the problems in the first place.

You are completely right this is not where Labour should be, the last 2 years have been an absolute writeoff and basically only started acting like the party should a couple of months ago.
Seems Corbyn has played a blinder. May, on the other hand. Seems May is refusing to step down if Lauren Knussb... Keunsber... Oh what's her name, is correct. That's just wonderful. Her obvious talent is just what we need going into the brexit negotiations in 11 days.

So she supported remain

Flipped to leave to get the top job

Flipped to call a snap election thinking labour were down and out

Made a twat of herself by saying the Europeans were being mean after that number 10 dinner

Lost a parliamentary majority with big gains to the unelectable Corbyn.

She'll do just fine in the brexit negotiations. She's obviously a talent.
Digby
Posts: 15261
Joined: Fri Feb 12, 2016 11:17 am

Re: Snap General Election called

Post by Digby »

Peat wrote:Twinings Lemon & Ginger is the shiznit. Good choice man.
You say that, but it seems like only the other week I'd have been staying up for much of the election if not all of it whilst drinking champagne.
Digby
Posts: 15261
Joined: Fri Feb 12, 2016 11:17 am

Re: RE: Re: RE: Re: Snap General Election called

Post by Digby »

canta_brian wrote:Seems May is refusing to step down if Lauren Knussb... Keunsber... Oh what's her name, is correct. That's just wonderful. Her obvious talent is just what we need going into the brexit negotiations in 11 days.
Kuenssberg.

May will not last until the next election as she'd not be allowed to fight it even if she wants to. Whether the Tories seek an immediate new leader, whether they try to make some progress on Brexit first allowing May to take some hits so the new person can step in to sort it out, whether May simply quite, whether even we ask the EU for a stay of execution on leaving the EU I don't know, and really they're not likely to know just 5-6 hours later after the scale of their disastrous night was confirmed.
User avatar
Sandydragon
Posts: 10299
Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2016 7:13 pm

Re: Snap General Election called

Post by Sandydragon »

There is no way that May will lead another election campaign. None. The only reason she isn't busy packing right now, and I understand the likes of BoJo are taking soundings, is that a leadership contest now would be a disaster. Brexit is happening and we can't piss about with a leadership contest now. Once we have a deal in place, I expect those knives being sharpened to be deployed.

It's also in a lot of people's interests to keep May in place. Many Tories don't want Boris but there aren't too many contenders at the moment. I'm not sure Corbyn would want her to go either. If he takes the long view, he is in a great position. He has gained additional seats and regained votes from ukip and other protest parties. He can now watch a weakened PM take the full rap for Brexit whilst chucking grenades in from the sidelines and hoping to capitalise if the Tories fall apart, which given the volatility of the conservative right wing, is quite likely, particularly if May has to compromise and get support of other parties.

Better for Corbyn to have come a close second last night and look to capitalise in a few years time, as I don't think this government will last 5 years.
Peat
Posts: 1038
Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2016 7:09 pm

Re: Snap General Election called

Post by Peat »

Digby wrote:
Peat wrote:Twinings Lemon & Ginger is the shiznit. Good choice man.
You say that, but it seems like only the other week I'd have been staying up for much of the election if not all of it whilst drinking champagne.
Champagne is heavily overrated.
Digby
Posts: 15261
Joined: Fri Feb 12, 2016 11:17 am

Re: Snap General Election called

Post by Digby »

Peat wrote:
Digby wrote:
Peat wrote:Twinings Lemon & Ginger is the shiznit. Good choice man.
You say that, but it seems like only the other week I'd have been staying up for much of the election if not all of it whilst drinking champagne.
Champagne is heavily overrated.
I agree, and normally I'd consider sparkling wine a better and cheaper alternative. But sometimes it's just a time for champagne
Big D
Posts: 5576
Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2016 7:49 pm

Re: Snap General Election called

Post by Big D »

Once again regardless of content of her campaign Ruth Davidson has had a positive night in Scotland. Tory HQ might keep an eye on that one and get her involved. She seems to know how to strike a chord with the electorate in Scotland.
Banquo
Posts: 20888
Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2016 7:52 pm

Re: Snap General Election called

Post by Banquo »

Big D wrote:Once again regardless of content of her campaign Ruth Davidson has had a positive night in Scotland. Tory HQ might keep an eye on that one and get her involved. She seems to know how to strike a chord with the electorate in Scotland.
indeed, polar opposite to May in terms of charisma, energy and debating
Banquo
Posts: 20888
Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2016 7:52 pm

Re: Snap General Election called

Post by Banquo »

McDonnell wants to form a coalition government
Digby
Posts: 15261
Joined: Fri Feb 12, 2016 11:17 am

Re: Snap General Election called

Post by Digby »

Banquo wrote:McDonnell wants to form a coalition government
Does he say wants? Though no matter what he wants close friends may persuade him it's in the best interests of the country for him to put aside what he wants and take any opportunity to serve.
Banquo
Posts: 20888
Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2016 7:52 pm

Re: Snap General Election called

Post by Banquo »

Digby wrote:
Banquo wrote:McDonnell wants to form a coalition government
Does he say wants? Though no matter what he wants close friends may persuade him it's in the best interests of the country for him to put aside what he wants and take any opportunity to serve.
just heard him say it
User avatar
Stom
Posts: 5939
Joined: Wed Feb 10, 2016 10:57 am

Re: Snap General Election called

Post by Stom »

Banquo wrote:McDonnell wants to form a coalition government
Did he not say Minority Government? With policy by policy support.

Could we have competing Queen's Speeches?
Post Reply