Tory Leadership/Next PM Battle
- bruce
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Tory Leadership/Next PM Battle
So the runners and riders so far,
Stephen Crabb - Remain - could be an surprise outside bet
Liam Fox - Leave - no chance possibly angling for cabinet spot
Theresa May - Remain-ish - big beast one of the front runners
Boris Johnson - Leave - big beast one of the front runners
Michael Gove - Leave - big beast but don't see it
Andrea Leadsom - Leave - don't see it possibly angling for bigger cabinet role
Now for me Gove is a surprise runner, thought he was likely to be backing up Boris. Maybe it's his eminently punchable face but I see him in the background pulling the strings, think his Mrs has talked him into it. Don't see the electorate warming to him, and if Milliband taught us anything it was that if you look weird you're not going to win.
Stephen Crabb - Remain - could be an surprise outside bet
Liam Fox - Leave - no chance possibly angling for cabinet spot
Theresa May - Remain-ish - big beast one of the front runners
Boris Johnson - Leave - big beast one of the front runners
Michael Gove - Leave - big beast but don't see it
Andrea Leadsom - Leave - don't see it possibly angling for bigger cabinet role
Now for me Gove is a surprise runner, thought he was likely to be backing up Boris. Maybe it's his eminently punchable face but I see him in the background pulling the strings, think his Mrs has talked him into it. Don't see the electorate warming to him, and if Milliband taught us anything it was that if you look weird you're not going to win.
Last edited by bruce on Thu Jun 30, 2016 11:59 am, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: Tory Leadership/Next PM Battle
I think Gove is trying to make sure Boris doesn't get it tbh. Leadsom, ye gods!
There's a decent chance that most parties will have a female leader quite soon, bar Farron and fckin Farage.
There's a decent chance that most parties will have a female leader quite soon, bar Farron and fckin Farage.
- bruce
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Re: Tory Leadership/Next PM Battle
Changed by deed poll I understand.Banquo wrote:I think Gove is trying to make sure Boris doesn't get it tbh. Leadsom, ye gods!
There's a decent chance that most parties will have a female leader quite soon, bar Farron and fckin Farage.
- Stones of granite
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Re: Tory Leadership/Next PM Battle
Out of that shower of shite, surely only May has any chance. God help us.
- bruce
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Re: Tory Leadership/Next PM Battle
Actually I don't think Boris has officially entered the race yet.
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Re: Tory Leadership/Next PM Battle
You'd hope, she is the only one close to being sane and belonging to the human race. Folks will get nostalgic over Dave soonStones of granite wrote:Out of that shower of shite, surely only May has any chance. God help us.

- bruce
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Re: Tory Leadership/Next PM Battle
She's a bit sour faced for my liking. Think Maggie but without the personality!Banquo wrote:You'd hope, she is the only one close to being sane and belonging to the human race. Folks will get nostalgic over Dave soonStones of granite wrote:Out of that shower of shite, surely only May has any chance. God help us.
If Boris can get passed the MP's and onto the ballot, he takes it in my view, which I wouldn't be too overly against as long as he has a good team behind him.
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Re: Tory Leadership/Next PM Battle
If he can get onto the ballot then Gove is the most popular with the party members, or he has been for a while now as for some reason many of them don't take so much to Boris, and if they think they're up against Corbyn they're under no pressure to worry about who the wider public might prefer to vote for.
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Re: Tory Leadership/Next PM Battle
Gove would be a disasterDigby wrote:If he can get onto the ballot then Gove is the most popular with the party members, or he has been for a while now as for some reason many of them don't take so much to Boris, and if they think they're up against Corbyn they're under no pressure to worry about who the wider public might prefer to vote for.
- bruce
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Re: Tory Leadership/Next PM Battle
Why out of interest? Is it just his face? I see him as the real "leader" whoever wins, pulling the strings etc. which is why I thought he'd stick with Boris who would be a popular front to the party with Gove reigning him in in the background.Banquo wrote:Gove would be a disasterDigby wrote:If he can get onto the ballot then Gove is the most popular with the party members, or he has been for a while now as for some reason many of them don't take so much to Boris, and if they think they're up against Corbyn they're under no pressure to worry about who the wider public might prefer to vote for.
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Re: Tory Leadership/Next PM Battle
He's a crazed intellectual ideologue with a puncheable face. I can't see him connecting with anyone.bruce wrote:Why out of interest? Is it just his face? I see him as the real "leader" whoever wins, pulling the strings etc. which is why I thought he'd stick with Boris who would be a popular front to the party with Gove reigning him in in the background.Banquo wrote:Gove would be a disasterDigby wrote:If he can get onto the ballot then Gove is the most popular with the party members, or he has been for a while now as for some reason many of them don't take so much to Boris, and if they think they're up against Corbyn they're under no pressure to worry about who the wider public might prefer to vote for.
- bruce
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Re: Tory Leadership/Next PM Battle
Nothing really there I can argue with.Banquo wrote:He's a crazed intellectual ideologue with a puncheable face. I can't see him connecting with anyone.bruce wrote:Why out of interest? Is it just his face? I see him as the real "leader" whoever wins, pulling the strings etc. which is why I thought he'd stick with Boris who would be a popular front to the party with Gove reigning him in in the background.Banquo wrote: Gove would be a disaster
- Stones of granite
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Re: Tory Leadership/Next PM Battle
The Tories should just skip the middle man and elect his wife.Banquo wrote:Gove would be a disasterDigby wrote:If he can get onto the ballot then Gove is the most popular with the party members, or he has been for a while now as for some reason many of them don't take so much to Boris, and if they think they're up against Corbyn they're under no pressure to worry about who the wider public might prefer to vote for.
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Re: Tory Leadership/Next PM Battle
true, she seems even more barkingStones of granite wrote:The Tories should just skip the middle man and elect his wife.Banquo wrote:Gove would be a disasterDigby wrote:If he can get onto the ballot then Gove is the most popular with the party members, or he has been for a while now as for some reason many of them don't take so much to Boris, and if they think they're up against Corbyn they're under no pressure to worry about who the wider public might prefer to vote for.
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Re: Tory Leadership/Next PM Battle
I can't say I'd want any of them. However the opinion polls, trust them at you peril, would suggest Gove is much more popular with the Tory members than Boris. And in practical terms it seems very likely Boris will get onto the ballot, so his main aim right now is to likely to stop Gove being the alternative.
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Re: Tory Leadership/Next PM Battle
and vice versa. And Gove being popular with Tory members (what kind of people are they??) bears no relation to electability.Digby wrote:I can't say I'd want any of them. However the opinion polls, trust them at you peril, would suggest Gove is much more popular with the Tory members than Boris. And in practical terms it seems very likely Boris will get onto the ballot, so his main aim right now is to likely to stop Gove being the alternative.
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Re: Tory Leadership/Next PM Battle
We could well have the two major political parties putting forward a candidate in the next general election that their party members like whilst everyone else thinks they're nuts, perhaps we shouldn't mock the US over Trump so much. And the main alternative to say a Corbyn/Gove shootout is that bloke no one in the Lib Dems can remember the name of, although it might be UKIP goes past the Lid Dems on the national frontBanquo wrote:and vice versa. And Gove being popular with Tory members (what kind of people are they??) bears no relation to electability.Digby wrote:I can't say I'd want any of them. However the opinion polls, trust them at you peril, would suggest Gove is much more popular with the Tory members than Boris. And in practical terms it seems very likely Boris will get onto the ballot, so his main aim right now is to likely to stop Gove being the alternative.
I look likely to be voting Lib Dem if they do go with a policy of wanting to remain or resecure entry into Europe at this point, but I wouldn't object to someone putting up a credible candidate.
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Re: Tory Leadership/Next PM Battle
Most ideological IMO. Co-wrote a book on how to dismantle the NHS, look what he has done in education etc..bruce wrote:Why out of interest? Is it just his face? I see him as the real "leader" whoever wins, pulling the strings etc. which is why I thought he'd stick with Boris who would be a popular front to the party with Gove reigning him in in the background.Banquo wrote:Gove would be a disasterDigby wrote:If he can get onto the ballot then Gove is the most popular with the party members, or he has been for a while now as for some reason many of them don't take so much to Boris, and if they think they're up against Corbyn they're under no pressure to worry about who the wider public might prefer to vote for.
The most worrisome on that list.
- Stones of granite
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Re: Tory Leadership/Next PM Battle
Agreed. With Boris a close second for exactly the opposite reason. He has no ideology other than self-interest, and will be a lobbyist's dream ticket.jared_7 wrote:Most ideological IMO. Co-wrote a book on how to dismantle the NHS, look what he has done in education etc..bruce wrote:Why out of interest? Is it just his face? I see him as the real "leader" whoever wins, pulling the strings etc. which is why I thought he'd stick with Boris who would be a popular front to the party with Gove reigning him in in the background.Banquo wrote: Gove would be a disaster
The most worrisome on that list.
- bruce
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Re: Tory Leadership/Next PM Battle
Boris not standing. F*cked over by Gove.
- Edinburgh in Exile
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Re: Tory Leadership/Next PM Battle
I'm inclined to think it's the other way around. Who the fuck wants to captain this dumpster fire?bruce wrote:Boris not standing. F*cked over by Gove.
- bruce
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Re: Tory Leadership/Next PM Battle
Edinburgh in Exile wrote:I'm inclined to think it's the other way around. Who the fuck wants to captain this dumpster fire?bruce wrote:Boris not standing. F*cked over by Gove.
Gove may feel that his job is done now, and pull out of the contest himself. Can't see anyone other than May taking this now.
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Re: Tory Leadership/Next PM Battle
Calculated move by Johnson, the next PM is going to cope with a couple of years of recession, increasing pressure from Scotland and even NI to pull away, as well as the EU negotiations where the UK will win very little wiggle room on things like immigration.
And it sums him up to a tee, campaign and get us into the mess, take a step back while the sh*t hits the fan, and then you just know in a couple of years he'll be back saying how much better he would have handled it.
And it sums him up to a tee, campaign and get us into the mess, take a step back while the sh*t hits the fan, and then you just know in a couple of years he'll be back saying how much better he would have handled it.
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Re: Tory Leadership/Next PM Battle
Well that's one way for Boris not to worry about Gove being on the ballot next to him. Straight fight between May and Gove it would seem, with May having a similar problem that Gove is perhaps more popular in the party, and where I've been using the line 'more popular' that relates to Conservative party members answering the question as to which person they would be most likely to elect leader.Banquo wrote:and vice versa. And Gove being popular with Tory members (what kind of people are they??) bears no relation to electability.Digby wrote:I can't say I'd want any of them. However the opinion polls, trust them at you peril, would suggest Gove is much more popular with the Tory members than Boris. And in practical terms it seems very likely Boris will get onto the ballot, so his main aim right now is to likely to stop Gove being the alternative.
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Re: RE: Re: Tory Leadership/Next PM Battle
"Hey, you've left a turd in the fridge!"jared_7 wrote:Calculated move by Johnson, the next PM is going to cope with a couple of years of recession, increasing pressure from Scotland and even NI to pull away, as well as the EU negotiations where the UK will win very little wiggle room on things like immigration.
And it sums him up to a tee, campaign and get us into the mess, take a step back while the sh*t hits the fan, and then you just know in a couple of years he'll be back saying how much better he would have handled it.
"Reluctantly I have concluded I am not the man to remove the turd from the fridge."
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